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US Fund Flows Slow in March as Investors React to the Iran War

Long-term US fund flows slowed significantly in March, bringing in under $48 billion. This was the lowest monthly intake since April 2025’s net outflow as investors recoiled to the impacts of the war in Iran.
While taxable-bond funds drove most of the month’s inflows again, it was a lackluster month for the category group, with investors derisking within their fixed-income allocations. While marginal, equity categories across the board gathered inflows.
The charts below illustrate which direction the money is flowing for a variety of fund types.
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US Fund Flows Come Back Down to Earth
Source: Morningstar Direct Asset Flows. Data as of March 31, 2026.
War-Driven Inflation Fears Inspire Ultrashort Bond Fund Surge
It was a historic month for ultrashort-bond funds, which notched their largest monthly inflow on record with over $24 billion. This represented over 85% of taxable-bond net inflows, which stood at under $29 billion for the month, a notably weak showing for the rest of the category group.
With the Iran war and the subsequent closing of the Strait of Hormuz, a systematically important trade route for global oil, inflation risks have reemerged as a primary focus for investors, leading to decreased allocations to long-term bonds and a rotation toward ultrashort bonds that offer very limited duration.
Taxable-Bond Flows
Source: Morningstar Direct Asset Flows. Data as of March 31, 2026. OGR stands for organic growth rate.
Navigating Market Volatility Through Fund Flows Data
Oil Shock Sparks Exodus From Credit-Risky Bond Funds
Investors fled credit-risky bond allocations in March as the price of oil skyrocketed from around $70 per barrel to over $100 per barrel. Oil prices’ impact on both corporate fundamentals and the health of global economies cannot be overstated, and investors reduced exposure to more vulnerable areas of the fixed-income universe, such as the high-yield bond and emerging-markets bond categories.
High-yield bond funds led all categories with over $9 billion in outflows, while investors pulled nearly $4 billion from emerging-markets bond funds, their largest outflow since March 2020.
Risk-On Bond Flows
Source: Morningstar Direct Asset Flows. Data as of March 31, 2026.
Record Outflows for Commodities Funds
Over $11 billion exited commodities funds in March, a record monthly figure. Over 80% of commodities funds belong to the commodities-focused category, which is dominated by gold funds such as SPDR Gold Shares and iShares Gold Trust that have consistently gathered significant assets over the past 12 months.
These two funds alone drove the entire category group’s outflows; investors fled these investments as the price of gold fell for most of March and the US dollar strengthened from decade lows in late January.
Commodities Flows
Source: Morningstar Direct Asset Flows. Data as of March 31, 2026.
Inflows Continue Into International Equities
International-equity funds notched their 11th straight monthly inflow in March. That came despite a nearly 11% market selloff driven by the Iran war, which began at the end of February. Emerging-market stocks fell almost 13%. International funds’ roughly $10 billion March inflow fell well short of the previous two months, which both topped $30 billion.
Foreign large-blend funds were the big winners, collecting more than $12 billion, while India equity, diversified emerging markets, and China region categories led outflows, dropping about $2 billion each.
Source: Morningstar Direct. Data as of March 31, 2026.
More on Fund Flows From Morningstar
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Note: The figures in this report were compiled on Dec. 12, 2025, and reflect only the funds that had reported net assets by that date. The figures in both the commentary and the extended tables are survivorship-bias-free. This report includes both mutual funds and exchange-traded funds but not funds of funds unless specifically stated. It does not include collective investment trusts or separate accounts. Important methodology note: Morningstar computes flows using the standard approach in the industry: Net flow is the estimated change in assets not explained by the performance of the fund. Our method assumes that flows occur uniformly over the course of the month. Adjustments for mergers are performed automatically. When liquidated funds are included, the fund's final assets are counted as outflows. Reinvested dividends are not counted as inflows. We use fund-level reinvestment rates to improve accuracy in this respect. We make ad hoc adjustments for unusual corporate actions such as reverse share splits, and we overwrite our estimates with actual flows if managers are willing to provide the data to us. When possible, Morningstar offsets outflows caused by transfers to other investment vehicles that share an identical mandate since they are not indicative of a change in investor interest.



