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Twilio Inc Class A TWLO

Morningstar Rating
$58.85 +1.43 (2.49%)
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Company Report

Twilio’s Poor Returns Indicate a Moat Erosion for a Business in Transition

With its cloud native communication platform as a service, or CPaaS, we think Twilio is well on its way to unlocking the power of software builders. Twilio’s portfolio of application programming interfaces, or APIs, and ready-made solutions allow software developers to build a communication infrastructure to meet the unique needs of virtually any organization. As organizations have fully embraced the notion that existing clients are the most critical channel from which to generate new revenue, we think Twilio enjoys critical infrastructure, which could be moatworthy. Through extensive innovation efforts and strategic acquisitions, the firm has expanded its portfolio, paving the way for what we think will be robust growth over an extended period. These acquisitions, however, have eroded returns. We believe Twilio is a CPaaS leader, and will remain as such for years to come, and that returns will improve as the company scales and applications grow within the mix.

Price vs Fair Value

TWLO is trading at a 792% premium.
Price
$58.85
Fair Value
$47.00
Uncertainty
Very High
1-Star Price
$267.00
5-Star Price
$47.00
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Twilio is the clear leader in a rapidly growing industry for CPaaS. It has earned this lead through superior technology and unique targeted selling to software developers that involves easy implementation and rapid deployment.

Bears

We expect Twilio’s margins to be structurally lower than software peers because of network carrier access fees. Despite substantial scale, Twilio remains unprofitable on a GAAP basis and loosely breakeven on a non-GAAP basis.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$57.42
Day Range
$57.4559.03
52-Week Range
$49.8678.16
Bid/Ask
$58.23 / $59.25
Market Cap
$10.07 Bil
Volume/Avg
1.6 Mil / 2.4 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
21.14
Price/Sales
2.55
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
Dividend Yield (Forward)
Total Yield
9.04%

Company Profile

Twilio is a cloud-based communications platform-as-a-service company offering communication building blocks that allow for a fully customized customer engagement experience spanning voice, video, chat, and SMS messaging. It does this through various application programming interfaces and prebuilt solution applications aimed at improving customer engagement. The company leverages its Super Network, a global network of carrier relationships, to facilitate high-speed, cost-effective communication.
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Internet Content & Information
Stock Style Box
Small Growth
Total Number of Employees
5,867

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
TWLO
NICE
ZM
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
21.1419.4011.13
Price/Book Value
1.113.312.24
Price/Sales
2.554.864.10
Price/Cash Flow
13.1417.519.62
Price/Earnings
TWLO
NICE
ZM

Financial Strength

Metric
TWLO
NICE
ZM
Quick Ratio
6.112.214.26
Current Ratio
6.552.434.46
Interest Coverage
Quick Ratio
TWLO
NICE
ZM

Profitability

Metric
TWLO
NICE
ZM
Return on Assets (Normalized)
4.35%12.38%17.88%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
5.18%18.97%22.56%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
4.62%14.75%22.32%
Return on Assets
TWLO
NICE
ZM
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