Analyst Note| Ali Mogharabi |
Alphabet reported disappointing third-quarter results as revenue growth decelerated further, driven by the stronger dollar and economic uncertainty, which is increasing hesitancy in ad spending. Assuming less uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment, plus the monetization of YouTube Shorts, we expect advertising revenue growth to return to double-digit levels in 2023. Unlike advertising, the cloud business maintained impressive growth. After adjusting our model, including lower top-line growth assumptions, we slightly reduce our fair value estimate of Alphabet to $160 from $169. The stock is down nearly 7% in afterhours trading and remains attractive.