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Baidu Inc 09888

Morningstar Rating
HKD 105.50 +0.80 (0.76%)
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Company Report

Baidu: Lowering Fair Value by 5% Over Macro Headwinds Affecting Ad Business; Cloud Still Strong

We are lowering our Baidu fair value estimate by 5% to USD 174 (HKD 171) per share from USD 183 (HKD 180), after lowering our annual revenue growth assumptions for Baidu’s advertising business to 4%-5% from 6% in 2025-29 as macroeconomic headwinds continue to mount. Previously, wide-moat Baidu indicated that the slow growth rate in the fourth quarter of 2023 was only temporary, with recovery expected in 2024, but we now believe visibility will be limited this year.

Price vs Fair Value

09888 is trading at a 42% discount.
Price
HKD 104.70
Fair Value
HKD 198.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
HKD 768.00
5-Star Price
HKD 415.00
Economic Moat
Rlsy
Capital Allocation
Gqlrspdql

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Baidu is strengthening its mobile ecosystem with search, livestreaming, and mini programs, helping to create a closed-loop experience for users to acquire information and make transaction.

Bears

Alibaba, Tencent, ByteDance, Kuaishou and other social media platforms are competing in terms of advertising budgets, which will result in slow growth in revenue for Baidu search.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
HKD 104.70
Day Range
HKD 101.30105.60
52-Week Range
HKD 91.35155.80
Bid/Ask
HKD 105.40 / HKD 105.50
Market Cap
HKD 295.95 Bil
Volume/Avg
11.5 Mil / 8.5 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
9.35
Price/Sales
1.99
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
Dividend Yield (Forward)
Total Yield
0.49%

Company Profile

Baidu is the largest internet search engine in China with 84% share of the search engine market in September 2021 per web analytics firm, Statcounter. The firm generated 72% of core revenue from online marketing services from its search engine in 2022. Outside its search engine, Baidu is a technology-driven company and its other major growth initiatives are artificial intelligence cloud, video streaming services, voice recognition technology, and autonomous driving.
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Internet Content & Information
Stock Style Box
Large Core
Total Number of Employees
45,500

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
09888
03690
JD
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
9.3526.819.35
Price/Book Value
1.094.081.40
Price/Sales
1.992.250.30
Price/Cash Flow
5.4023.557.52
Price/Earnings
09888
03690
JD

Financial Strength

Metric
09888
03690
JD
Quick Ratio
2.751.570.80
Current Ratio
3.011.821.16
Interest Coverage
6.2910.278.66
Quick Ratio
09888
03690
JD

Profitability

Metric
09888
03690
JD
Return on Assets (Normalized)
7.13%8.68%5.87%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
12.23%16.49%15.88%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
7.21%11.89%8.55%
Return on Assets
09888
03690
JD
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