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AGL Energy Ltd AGL

Morningstar Rating
A$10.24 +0.01 (0.10%)
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Company Report

AGL Energy: Lifting Guidance on Strong Power Station Performances

AGL Energy increased fiscal 2024 underlying net profit after tax guidance to AUD 760 million-AUD 810 million, up 8% at the midpoint from previous guidance. We upgrade our NPAT forecast to the midpoint of guidance and also increase earnings in 2025 and 2026 to reflect recent improvements in electricity forward prices. Our longer-term forecasts are essentially unchanged, and we maintain our AUD 11.50 per share fair value estimate. The no-moat firm screens as slightly undervalued at current prices.

Price vs Fair Value

AGL is trading at a 663% premium.
Price
A$10.23
Fair Value
A$41.20
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
A$32.46
5-Star Price
A$9.20
Economic Moat
Dlvmz
Capital Allocation
Gnww

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

As AGL Energy is a provider of an essential product, earnings should prove somewhat defensive.

Bears

The regulatory environment is unpredictable and has a significant impact on AGL Energy's earnings.

Is it the right time to buy, sell, or hold?
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Trading Information

Previous Close Price
A$10.23
Day Range
A$10.1910.29
52-Week Range
A$7.8012.45
Bid/Ask
A$10.22 / A$10.24
Market Cap
A$6.88 Bil
Volume/Avg
167,378 / 2.3 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
21.97
Price/Sales
0.57
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
4.79%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
4.79%
Total Yield
4.83%

Company Profile

AGL Energy is one of Australia's largest retailers of electricity and gas. It services over 4 million retail electricity and gas accounts in Australian, or about one third of the market. Profit is dominated by energy generation, underpinned by its low-cost coal-fired generation fleet. Founded in 1837, it is the oldest company on the ASX. Generation capacity comprises a portfolio of renewable, peaking, intermediate, and base-load electricity generation plants.
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Stock Style Box
Mid Core
Total Number of Employees
3,358

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
AGL
MEL
CEN
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
21.9755.1424.13
Price/Book Value
1.252.822.73
Price/Sales
0.574.393.02
Price/Cash Flow
4.1430.3613.73
Price/Earnings
AGL
MEL
CEN

Financial Strength

Metric
AGL
MEL
CEN
Quick Ratio
0.800.670.61
Current Ratio
1.090.940.86
Interest Coverage
1.631.756.27
Quick Ratio
AGL
MEL
CEN

Profitability

Metric
AGL
MEL
CEN
Return on Assets (Normalized)
3.90%0.79%4.95%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
11.11%1.34%10.49%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
7.09%1.00%5.26%
Return on Assets
AGL
MEL
CEN
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