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Vistra Corp VST

Morningstar Rating
$91.35 −2.75 (2.92%)
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Company Report

Vistra Energy Earnings: Widespread Power Market Rally Boosts Outlook, Valuation

We plan to raise our $32 per share fair value estimate for Vistra by about 25% to reflect a rally in Texas power markets during the last quarter and additional synergies from the Energy Harbor acquisition that closed in March. This follows our 23% fair value increase in March to reflect Vistra's higher hedged margin value. We are reaffirming our no-moat and High Uncertainty ratings.

Price vs Fair Value

VST is trading at a 614% premium.
Price
$94.08
Fair Value
$96.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
$11.90
5-Star Price
$93.30
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Vistra’s debt reduction in 2019-20 gives it financial flexibility to repurchase stock, raise the dividend, and finance the Energy Harbor acquisition.

Bears

Low gas and electricity prices hurt the profitability of Vistra’s coal and nuclear fleet.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$94.10
Day Range
$91.0996.69
52-Week Range
$23.5497.81
Bid/Ask
$91.29 / $91.39
Market Cap
$31.70 Bil
Volume/Avg
2.2 Mil / 7.8 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
26.48
Price/Sales
2.57
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
0.89%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
0.92%
Total Yield
4.72%

Company Profile

Vistra Energy is one of the largest power producers and retail energy providers in the us Following the 2024 Energy Harbor acquisition, Vistra owns 41 gigawatts of nuclear, coal, natural gas, and solar power generation along with one of the largest utility-scale battery projects in the world. Its retail electricity business serves 5 million customers in 20 states, including almost a third of all Texas electricity consumers. Vistra emerged from the Energy Future Holdings bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in 2016. It acquired Dynegy in 2018.
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Stock Style Box
Mid Growth
Total Number of Employees
4,870

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
VST
AES
SRE
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
26.4810.4017.41
Price/Book Value
10.325.211.75
Price/Sales
2.571.213.59
Price/Cash Flow
8.465.059.46
Price/Earnings
VST
AES
SRE

Financial Strength

Metric
VST
AES
SRE
Quick Ratio
0.530.330.37
Current Ratio
1.180.680.62
Interest Coverage
4.100.662.48
Quick Ratio
VST
AES
SRE

Profitability

Metric
VST
AES
SRE
Return on Assets (Normalized)
4.01%3.59%3.54%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
40.47%80.05%10.98%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
8.96%6.76%6.23%
Return on Assets
VST
AES
SRE
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