Genesis Energy Ltd GNE

Morningstar Rating
NZ$2.37 +0.02 (0.85%)
View Full Chart

Company Report

Genesis Shifts to Renewables To Drive Medium-Term Earnings Growth

Genesis operates a mix of thermal (coal and gas) and hydro generation, with total annual production of approximately 7,000 GWh. The company's hydro generation provides it with low-cost generation during times when there is sufficient rainfall and/or snowmelt. Conversely hydro generation can fall sharply when inflow to the firm's lakes recedes because of insufficient rainfall. During such times, production from its thermal power plants can be ramped up to make up for the shortfall in hydro generation. Spot prices can increase dramatically during periods of low rainfall, reflecting the demand/supply mismatch caused by lower nationwide energy output. Such times tend to favor Genesis as the excess generation is sold at higher prices. Consequently, Genesis' profitability and margins can increase during periods of low rainfall and high electricity prices.

Price vs Fair Value

GNE is trading at a LOCK|!ShnM& premium.
Price
NZ$2.35
Fair Value
LOCK|^P
Uncertainty
LOCK|J#$
1-Star Price
LOCK|<N
5-Star Price
LOCK|<f$
Economic Moat
LOCK|kC%ns
Capital Allocation
LOCK|SMKYrZ

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Persistently high wholesale electricity prices are flowing through to customer tariffs, supporting earnings growth.

Bears

The Kupe stake introduces oil price volatility. Earnings should benefit from recent strength in the oil price (with a lag because of hedging) but over the long term, earnings are at risk from depletion of the field.

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
NZ$2.35
Day Range
NZ$2.36–2.39
52-Week Range
NZ$2.13–2.80
Bid/Ask
NZ$2.36 / NZ$2.37
Shares Outstanding
1.32B
Market Cap
NZ$3.10B
Volume/Avg
31,712 / 661,417

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
17.58
Price/Sales
0.97
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
6.29%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
6.45%
Dividend Payment Schedule
Mar, Oct
Total Yield
6.29%

Company Profile

Genesis Energy is one of New Zealand's leading producers of electricity, accounting for more than 15% of the country's total generation. The firm enjoys a strong retail presence, with the highest retail market share, at over 25%. The company has a mix of renewable and thermal assets, with the latter accounting for about 55%-60% of the firm's overall production. The company has a 46% interest in the Kupe oil and gas field.
Sector
Utilities
Industry
Utilities - Independent Power Producers
Stock Style Box
Mid Value
Total Number of Employees
1,204

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
GNE
MCY
MEL
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
17.5824.6250.48
Price/Book Value
1.031.821.50
Price/Sales
0.972.963.85
Price/Cash Flow
6.0812.5318.31
Price/Earnings
GNE
MCY
MEL

Financial Strength

Metric
GNE
MCY
MEL
Quick Ratio
0.460.580.93
Current Ratio
0.860.961.15
Interest Coverage
1.784.331.65
Quick Ratio
GNE
MCY
MEL

Profitability

Metric
GNE
MCY
MEL
Return on Assets (Normalized)
1.39%3.30%1.96%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
2.81%6.68%3.33%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
1.86%4.30%2.76%
Return on Assets
GNE
MCY
MEL

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