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Salesforce Continues Winning Ways, Shares Undervalued

The wide-moat firm continues to see strength across all of its major cloud properties, and we're boosting our fair value estimate by about 9%.

First-quarter revenue rose 25% versus the prior-year period to $3.01 billion, slightly ahead of our expectations. Management spoke at length about a number of large wins in the quarter (despite what is typically a seasonally weak period for new business), including a transformational deal with an insurance company that was one of the largest signed in Salesforce history. We think this sort of demand is a reflection of Salesforce’s best-in-class product offering across the CRM suite, as the company continues to take share across its sales, service, and marketing cloud products. Marketing cloud was a bright spot in the quarter, as revenue rose 41% year over year, an acceleration from the 33% growth rate the business generated in the fourth quarter. We believe commerce cloud is beginning to lower barriers to adoption of the broader marketing Cloud for both B2C and B2B customers alike as enterprises increasingly focus on omnichannel sales strategies.

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About the Author

Rodney Nelson

Senior Equity Analyst

Rodney Nelson is a senior equity analyst for Morningstar Research Services LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. His coverage spans enterprise software, including legacy software companies, software-as-a-service providers, and business intelligence software vendors.

Before assuming his current role in 2015, Nelson was an associate equity analyst on the technology, media, and telecommunications team, covering software, Internet, and Canadian telecom companies. He was also a member of the cross-sector equity research team from 2012 to mid-2014. He joined Morningstar in 2011 as an equity and credit research sales intern before becoming a full-time employee in 2012.

Nelson holds a bachelor’s degree in economics from the University of Chicago.

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