Skip to Content

CN's Promising Prospects but Rich Price

The wide-moat company remains arguably the highest-quality Class I railroad.

At its 2017 investor meeting,

Chief Marketing Officer JJ Ruest presented top-line growth opportunities for the next five years that combined represent CAD 1.5 billion-2.2 billion of incremental revenue (versus a top line of CAD 12 billion in 2016). Intermodal is among the strongest demand sources, with international driven by expansion at Prince Rupert and Vancouver and domestic fed by retail expansion, wholesale partners like J.B. Hunt, and additions to CN's refrigerated container fleet. We expect Canadian grain growth due to crop productivity, and management points to new elevators on its line and expected continued competitive share gains. Related to oil, several new and several expanded petrochemical plants are coming on CN's line in Edmonton, and frac sand demand is vigorously recovering from 2016 in Alberta and Wisconsin. Other recovering commodities include lumber and panel feeding U.S. housing, and coal opportunities at mines opened or scheduled to open by Grande Cache and Conuma. Our existing projections increase revenue CAD 2.2 billion from 2017 to 2021.

Morningstar Premium Members gain exclusive access to our full analyst reports, including fair value estimates, bull and bear breakdowns, and risk analyses. Not a Premium Member? Get this and other reports immediately when you try Morningstar Premium free for 14 days.

More in Stocks

About the Author

Keith Schoonmaker

Sector Director
More from Author

Keith Schoonmaker, CFA, is director of industrials equity research for Morningstar Research Services LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. Before assuming his current role in 2012, he was an equity analyst covering the transportation industry.

Prior to joining Morningstar in 2007, Schoonmaker worked for more than a decade in product development and consulting in the paper industry.

Schoonmaker holds a bachelor’s degree in chemistry from Wheaton College and a master’s degree in business administration from Northwestern University’s Kellogg School of Management. He also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation. In 2011, he ranked first in the industrial transportation industry in The Wall Street Journal’s annual “Best on the Street” analysts survey.

Sponsor Center