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Canadian National Railway Co CNI

Morningstar Rating
$129.76 +0.46 (0.36%)
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Company Report

Canadian National's Intermodal Activity Finally Stabilizing, and We Expect Growth This Year

While peers have caught up over the years, especially Canadian Pacific, Canadian National was long the highest-margin (lowest operating ratio, or OR) Class I railroad due to being the precision railroading pioneer in the 2000s. Recall that PSR architect Hunter Harrison left CN in 2009 and subsequently ended up applying his playbook at CP. Historically speaking, CN bolstered its velocity by making greater use of distributed-power locomotives and extending sidings at port staging areas. Running a scheduled railroad requires commitment to on-time train departures from both employees and customers queuing cars for departure. We think PSR is still in CN's DNA, though we sense management was focused more on growth than margins between 2019 and 2021, before the 2022 leadership changes (albeit growth was tempered by external events like congestion, strikes, blockages, tough weather, and so forth).

Price vs Fair Value

CNI is trading within a range we consider fairly valued.
Price
$129.32
Fair Value
$167.00
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
$195.67
5-Star Price
$88.10
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
Pgvxnhyn

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Over the past year, CN has reinvigorated its precision railroading roots, narrowing the margin gap with peers.

Bears

Grain carload-volume growth will likely take a breather in 2024 on a less robust late-2023 harvest and a less favorable export backdrop (to China).

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$129.30
Day Range
$129.39130.60
52-Week Range
$103.99134.00
Bid/Ask
$129.75 / $129.76
Market Cap
$83.05 Bil
Volume/Avg
964,803 / 959,484

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
23.96
Price/Sales
6.84
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
1.88%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
1.43%
Total Yield
5.97%

Company Profile

Canadian National's railway spans Canada from coast to coast and extends through Chicago to the Gulf of Mexico. In 2023, CN generated CAD 16.8 billion in revenue by hauling intermodal containers (23% of consolidated revenue), petroleum and chemicals (19%), grain and fertilizers (19%), forest products (12%), metals and minerals (12%), automotive shipments (6%), and coal (6%). Other items constitute the remaining revenue.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Railroads
Stock Style Box
Large Growth
Total Number of Employees
24,987

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
CNI
CSX
UNP
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
23.9619.1322.04
Price/Book Value
5.485.379.47
Price/Sales
6.844.715.81
Price/Cash Flow
16.4012.8716.15
Price/Earnings
CNI
CSX
UNP

Financial Strength

Metric
CNI
CSX
UNP
Quick Ratio
0.350.880.62
Current Ratio
0.611.050.81
Interest Coverage
9.996.957.11
Quick Ratio
CNI
CSX
UNP

Profitability

Metric
CNI
CSX
UNP
Return on Assets (Normalized)
12.60%8.83%9.63%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
31.55%30.10%47.89%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
18.67%13.72%15.34%
Return on Assets
CNI
CSX
UNP
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Railroads Industry Comparables

Ticker
Name
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Capital Allocation
Economic Moat
Market Cap
UNP
Union Pacific CorpJvghbjpHzzk$140.2 Bil
CP
Canadian Pacific Kansas City LtdYptfdprdTwgls$80.4 Bil
CSX
CSX CorpLxbycnvrDlzxx$67.7 Bil
NSC
Norfolk Southern CorpYtkznbryRltr$55.3 Bil
WAB
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies CorpTptpvkj$25.8 Bil
CJPRY
Central Japan Railway Co ADRThzmdc$23.3 Bil
CJPRF
Central Japan Railway CoBfggl$22.9 Bil
EJPRF
East Japan Railway CoYpkxvwp$21.3 Bil
EJPRY
East Japan Railway Co ADRSggrkh$21.3 Bil

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