Getting past near-term growing pains and uncertainty, we see significant risk-adjusted upside.
We have reduced our near-term outlook for lithium demand and maintain our current forecasts for three narrow-moat companies.
All three lithium producers we cover are undervalued.
We think its divestment to IFF makes good strategic sense.
We see better days ahead for potash firms. Morningstar's Seth Goldstein explains.
These are our picks in supply chain and ancillary industries.
We see long-term potential for this wide-moat seed and chemical producer.
We expect a recovery in 2020, and these two stocks are poised to benefit.
We think the oversupply causing lower lithium prices is temporary.
Fewer acres planted will likely result in lower crop input volumes, but we expect profit impacts to be short-lived.
We see opportunity with both stocks from the former DowDuPont.
We see significant upside for Compass Minerals.
The wide-moat firm is poised to benefit from significant--and growing--fresh water demand.
As fresh water demand exceeds supply, wide-moat Ecolab stands to benefit.
Fertilizer-producer Nutrien offers attractive risk-adjusted upside potential.
The wide-moat company's progress on its Goderich mine operations is encouraging.
Our long-term outlook for lithium carbonate is unchanged.
Charging infrastructure is the key to electric vehicle adoption.
The wide-moat salt producer has seen operational hiccups and the departure of its CEO, but production is unaffected and we expect a rebound.
Increasing electric vehicle sales will drive lithium demand growth, and we like narrow-moat SQM and Abemarle.
Our top picks for industries that will benefit most from growing electric vehicle adoption are lithium producers and utilities.
We expect EV sales in China and the EU will accelerate, driving above-consensus global adoption rates.
The company will benefit from capacity expansions at its attractive low-cost assets.
China has agreed to higher potash prices in 2019, but we continue to forecast that prices will average $300 per metric ton over the next year.
The narrow-moat food ingredient firm should be able to grow profitably over the long term.
While we are skeptical of the revenue synergies the firm hopes to achieve with its purchase of Neovia and Protexin, we think the cost savings synergies are largely achievable.
As specialty ingredients make up more of the portfolio, we expect rising profits.
Switching costs strengthen the cleaning and sanitation firm's moat.
The quarter featured weather delays and reduced supply.
Nutrien, Mosaic, and Compass Minerals are among the most undervalued names today in the industry.
Adverse news has created an attractive entry point for this high-quality firm.
Higher prices from elevated snowfall should more than offset near-term operational challenges.
Soybean prices could see volatility, and grain merchandisers should benefit.
Shares of the wide-moat deicing salt producer have risen double digits in the past few weeks, thanks to an above-average number of snow days this winter.
The hookup has received all regulatory approvals, and the combined firms will begin trading as Nutrien on Jan. 2.
Propped up by Chinese stimulus, mined commodity and miner share prices remain overvalued.
Climate change is responsible for the firm’s weak recent results, but not how you might think.
We continue to expect $1.2 billion in annual cost-saving synergies versus management's $3 billion target.
The wide-moat miner depends on deicing salt sales, and we expect the weather to bounce back in Compass' favor.
The narrow-moat company will spin off its acetate tow business into a joint venture with Blackstone.