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Target Corp TGT

Rating as of

Morningstar’s Analysis

Valuation
Currency in USD
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1-Star Price

PREMIUM

5-Star Price

PREMIUM

Economic Moat

PREMIUM

Capital Allocation

PREMIUM

Target Continues Strong Momentum Through Holidays, but Shares Still Seem Rich

Zain Akbari, CFA Equity Analyst

Analyst Note

| Zain Akbari, CFA |

We plan a mid-single-digit percentage increase in our $118 per share valuation of no-moat Target after holiday sales have the company tracking above our prior fourth-quarter expectations. The holiday results do not alter our long-term outlook for low-single-digit sales growth and 6%-7% adjusted operating margins once the pandemic eases, likely in mid-2021.

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Company Profile

Business Description

With 1,868 stores (as of the end of fiscal 2019), Target is a leading American general merchandise retailer, offering a variety of products across several categories, including beauty and household essentials (27% of fiscal 2019 sales), apparel and accessories (19%), food and beverage (19%), home furnishings and décor (19%), and hardlines (16%). Most of Target’s stores are large-format, averaging roughly 130,000 square feet. The company has a significant e-commerce presence, deriving around 9% of sales from the channel. In addition to its namesake stores, Target owns Shipt, an online same-day delivery platform. After it exited Canada in 2015, virtually all of Target’s revenue is generated from the United States.

Contact
1000 Nicollet Mall
Minneapolis, MN, 55403
T +1 612 304-6073
Sector Consumer Defensive
Industry Discount Stores
Most Recent Earnings Oct 31, 2020
Fiscal Year End Feb 2, 2020
Stock Type Classic Growth
Employees 368,000

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