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Penske Automotive Group Inc PAG

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GM Loses U.S. Sales Crown for the First Time Since 1931; We Expect Industry Growth in 2022

Analyst Note

| David Whiston, CFA, CPA, CFE |

Most automakers, except Ford who reports on Jan. 5, reported fourth-quarter or December U.S. auto sales on Jan. 4. According to Wards, December light vehicle sales fell year over year by 25.6% and by 22.9% after adjusting for one less selling day in December 2021. The seasonally adjusted annualized selling rate of 12.44 million was far below December 2020’s 16.31 million due to 2021’s chip shortage continuing to cause woefully inadequate inventory. Wards put full-year 2021 sales at 14.93 million, up 3.1% from 2020 but still far from 17.1 million in 2019. Barring no mass pandemic shutdowns in 2022, we expect that this year sees at least about 5% growth from 2021, but the chip shortage will likely not be completely resolved until 2023. We expect gradual improvement throughout 2022, especially in the second half. We believe industry demand remains high.

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Company Profile

Business Description

Penske Automotive Group operates in 22 U.S. states and overseas. It has 144 U.S. light-vehicle stores including in Puerto Rico as well as 161 franchised dealerships overseas, primarily in the United Kingdom. The company is the second- largest U.S.-based dealership in terms of light-vehicle revenue and sells more than 35 brands, with 93% of retail automotive revenue coming from luxury and import names. Other services, in addition to new and used vehicles, are parts and repair and finance and insurance. The firm's Premier Truck Group owns 37 truck dealerships selling mostly Freightliner and Western Star brands, and Penske owns 23 CarShop used-vehicle stores in the U.S. and U.K. The company is based in Michigan and was called United Auto Group before changing its name in 2007.

2555 Telegraph Road
Bloomfield Hills, MI, 48302-0954
T +1 248 648-2500
Sector Consumer Cyclical
Industry Auto & Truck Dealerships
Most Recent Earnings Sep 30, 2021
Fiscal Year End Dec 31, 2019
Stock Type Cyclical
Employees 24,000