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Nutrien Ltd NTR

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Stock XNYS Rating as of
$51.22 +0.47 (0.93%)
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Company Report

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Canpotex-India Contract Affirms Our View for a Tightening Potash Market and Higher Prices in 2025

Seth Goldstein

Commodity data firm ICIS reported that Canpotex (Nutrien and Mosaic's potash export joint venture) agreed to a potash contract with India importers at a price of $283 per metric ton. This price is higher than both contracts signed last week. It is $4 per metric ton above the contract signed between India and potash producer Belaruskali and $10 per metric ton above the contract signed between China and Russian potash producer Uralkali. The $283 price is nearly at the midpoint of our potash contract forecast range for Canpotex of $270-$300 per metric ton.

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Price vs Fair Value

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NTR is trading at a 853% premium.
Price
$51.22
Fair Value
$94.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
$973.80
5-Star Price
$14.00
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Declining arable land per person will force growers to be more productive and should drive growth in a variety of crop inputs.

Bears

Volatile pricing and demand for crop nutrients have characterized Nutrien's business during the past few years, highlighting the cyclical nature of the company's cash flows.

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Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$50.75
Day Range
$50.58–51.53
52-Week Range
$47.86–69.12
Bid/Ask
$50.79 / $51.55
Market Cap
$25.33 Bil
Volume/Avg
1.5 Mil / 1.7 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
8.69
Price/Sales
0.89
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
4.22%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
4.26%
Total Yield
4.75%

Company Profile

Created in 2018 as a result of the merger between PotashCorp and Agrium, Nutrien is the world’s largest fertilizer producer by capacity. Nutrien produces the three main crop nutrients--nitrogen, potash, and phosphate--although its main focus is potash, where it is the global leader in installed capacity with a roughly 20% market share. The company is also the largest agricultural retailer in the United States, selling fertilizers, crop chemicals, seeds, and services directly to farm customers through its brick-and-mortar stores and online platforms.
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Agricultural Inputs
Stock Style Box
Large Value
Total Number of Employees
25,900
Website
https://www.nutrien.com

Competitors

Valuation

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Metric
NTR
CTVA
CF
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
 8.6927.1511.79
Price/Book Value
 1.021.562.49
Price/Sales
 0.892.332.31
Price/Cash Flow
 5.9415.925.71
Price/Earnings
NTR
CTVA
CF

Financial Strength

Metric
NTR
CTVA
CF
Quick Ratio
 0.460.843.34
Current Ratio
 1.151.513.94
Interest Coverage
 2.803.1411.96
Quick Ratio
NTR
CTVA
CF

Profitability

Metric
NTR
CTVA
CF
Return on Assets (Normalized)
 3.42%3.89%10.62%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
 7.31%6.72%25.93%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
 5.84%5.53%12.56%
Return on Assets
NTR
CTVA
CF
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