Caterpillar delivered 17% revenue growth to $20.7 billion, 38% growth in adjusted operating profit to $4.3 billion, and 45% adjusted EPS growth to $7.20. Despite this, and despite 96% growth in its order backlog to $78 billion, shares continued their sharp decline in Oct. 29 trading.
Management may be understating the group’s margin potential of 18%-22% as further services growth is likely to be margin accretive. There is a spread between the core construction segment and the others that could narrow.
Bears
Due to Caterpillar’s cyclicality, management profit margin targets may not be maintainable through the business cycle. Worse decremental margins would imply the value proposition to customers isn’t as robust.
Caterpillar is the world’s leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. Its reporting segments are construction, resource, energy, and transportation. Market share approaches 20% across many products. Caterpillar operates a captive finance subsidiary to facilitate sales. The firm has a global reach that is approximately evenly balanced between the US and the rest of the world. Construction skews more domestic, while the other divisions are more geographically diversified. An independent network of over 150 dealers operates approximately 2,800 facilities, giving Caterpillar reach into about 190 countries for sales and support services.