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Persimmon PLC PSN

Morningstar Rating
GBX 1,560.00 +27.50 (1.79%)
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Company Report

UK Homebuilders Remain Attractive Despite Positive Stock Price Reaction to Labour Election Victory

We reiterate the still-significant stock price upside potential for the majority of our UK homebuilder coverage despite the positive homebuilder stock price reaction to a Labour Party victory in the UK general election. Indeed, the election result was widely anticipated given polling in the lead up to the UK general election, which predicted a landslide Labour victory. Nonetheless, the election outcome has emboldened investors, with UK homebuilder stocks leading gains in UK stocks in early trading following the election result on July 5, 2024. Ostensibly, the Labour victory has instilled greater investor confidence that the present urban planning bottlenecks to new housing supply will be appropriately addressed—a key near-term concern that has weighed on UK homebuilder stock prices. Labour’s plans to reinstate support for first homebuyers and to increase supply of other forms of affordable housing are also constructive to the homebuilder industry outlook.

Price vs Fair Value

PSN is trading at a 117% premium.
Price
GBX 1,560.00
Fair Value
GBX 9,439.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
GBX 9,831.00
5-Star Price
GBX 1,939.00
Economic Moat
Xvrnv
Capital Allocation
Bxysssy

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Underlying housing demand is likely to benefit from the U.K.’s changing demographics. The ongoing ageing of the population is likely to support demand forb new housing over the coming decade as the U.K.'s average household size declines.

Bears

The U.K. government’s annual target of 300,000 new home additions is unlikely to materialise with housing market data not indicative of a material undersupply of housing.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
GBX 1,532.50
Day Range
GBX 1,527.501,565.50
52-Week Range
GBX 14.481,565.50
Bid/Ask
GBX 0.00 / GBX 1,652.00
Market Cap
GBX 498.95 Bil
Volume/Avg
639,805 / 1.1 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
18.86
Price/Sales
1.81
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
3.85%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
3.85%
Total Yield
3.87%

Company Profile

Persimmon is the U.K.’s second largest residential property developer by revenue and dwelling completions, marketing homes under its three brands: Persimmon Homes, Charles Church, and Westbury Partnerships. Persimmon largely caters to the lower-priced segment of the newbuild market, attracting more first-time homebuyers than any of its peer homebuilders. Aligning with the typical business model employed by U.K. homebuilders, Persimmon is a vertically integrated speculative homebuilder.
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Residential Construction
Stock Style Box
Mid Core
Total Number of Employees
4,825

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
PSN
BDEV
BKG
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
18.8612.7412.12
Price/Book Value
1.460.931.50
Price/Sales
1.811.172.19
Price/Cash Flow
16.9224.1815.94
Price/Earnings
PSN
BDEV
BKG

Financial Strength

Metric
PSN
BDEV
BKG
Quick Ratio
0.640.860.64
Current Ratio
4.544.923.57
Interest Coverage
23.557.1723.08
Quick Ratio
PSN
BDEV
BKG

Profitability

Metric
PSN
BDEV
BKG
Return on Assets (Normalized)
5.43%4.95%6.78%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
7.72%7.02%13.98%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
7.65%6.74%11.33%
Return on Assets
PSN
BDEV
BKG
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