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CarMax Inc KMX

Morningstar Rating
$70.27 +0.58 (0.83%)
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Company Report

We Expect CarMax's Inventory Affordability Problem to Eventually End

CarMax's revenue has increased at a compound annual rate of 11.3% since fiscal 2000 because of the success of customer-friendly sales practices and use of information technology. We think the firm will eventually reach its over 5% zero to 10-year-old vehicle market share target, up from 3.7% in 2023 and 4% in 2022. Revenue of at least $33 billion should come before reaching another goal of selling a combined 2 million annual retail and auction units between fiscal 2026 and fiscal 2030.

Price vs Fair Value

KMX is trading at a 44% discount.
Price
$69.69
Fair Value
$235.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
$488.57
5-Star Price
$82.00
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

CarMax has increased revenue and profitability at a remarkable rate, and we think it is positioned to gain market share in any environment. Omnichannel helps this story, as it lets consumer have maximum flexibility in their experience.

Bears

CarMax operates in a cyclical industry, and its strong model is not immune to a recession.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$69.69
Day Range
$69.0470.78
52-Week Range
$59.6688.22
Bid/Ask
$69.17 / $71.37
Market Cap
$11.06 Bil
Volume/Avg
2.9 Mil / 2.0 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
25.34
Price/Sales
0.42
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
Dividend Yield (Forward)
Total Yield
0.46%

Company Profile

CarMax sells, finances, and services used and new cars through a chain of around 250 used retail stores. It was formed in 1993 as a unit of Circuit City and spun off into an independent company in late 2002. Used-vehicle sales typically account for about 83% of revenue (79% in fiscal 2024 due to the chip shortage) and wholesale about 13% (19% in fiscal 2024), with the remaining portion composed of extended service plans and repair. In fiscal 2024, the company retailed and wholesaled 765,572, and 546,331 used vehicles, respectively. CarMax is the largest used-vehicle retailer in the US but still estimates that it had only about 3.7% US market share of vehicles 0-10 years old in 2023. It seeks over 5% share a few years from now. CarMax is based in Richmond, Virginia.
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Auto & Truck Dealerships
Stock Style Box
Mid Core
Total Number of Employees
29,836

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
KMX
LAD
GPI
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
25.347.186.32
Price/Book Value
1.811.171.43
Price/Sales
0.420.240.21
Price/Cash Flow
8.825.445.03
Price/Earnings
KMX
LAD
GPI

Financial Strength

Metric
KMX
LAD
GPI
Quick Ratio
0.340.420.27
Current Ratio
2.261.411.11
Interest Coverage
−0.364.875.75
Quick Ratio
KMX
LAD
GPI

Profitability

Metric
KMX
LAD
GPI
Return on Assets (Normalized)
2.11%5.84%8.38%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
9.62%17.76%24.53%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
−0.45%8.26%12.13%
Return on Assets
KMX
LAD
GPI
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