2021: The Year in Bond Funds
Credit risk prevails in a rocky year for bond markets.
Bond markets had to contend with a rocky 2021 characterized by rising inflation, a bumpier economic recovery, and the start of tighter monetary policy. The threat of inflation gathered pace over the year, unnerving government-bond markets in the process and culminating in the Federal Reserve’s hawkish pivot in the fourth quarter. Meanwhile, the stretch for yield that began in 2020 continued, with lower-quality credit surging for much of the year.
As a result, performance across fixed-income Morningstar Categories was mixed as more-credit-sensitive strategies outpaced most of the pack, while interest-rate-sensitive and non-U.S. dollar-denominated bond funds posted losses. High-yield municipal funds led the way, with an average return of 5.7%, while emerging-markets local-currency bond funds plunged 7.3% on average. The Morningstar U.S. Core Bond Index, a proxy for typical U.S. bond exposure, fell 1.6% for the year, posting its worst calendar-year return since the taper tantrum roiled fixed-income markets in 2013.
Sam Kulahan does not own (actual or beneficial) shares in any of the securities mentioned above. Find out about Morningstar’s editorial policies.