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West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd WFG

Morningstar Rating
CAD 121.58 +4.35 (3.71%)
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Company Report

West Fraser Earnings: Robust OSB Growth Offsets Lackluster Lumber Demand

No-moat-rated West Fraser reported solid second-quarter earnings despite mixed end market demand. Net sales climbed 6% year over year as robust gains in its North American engineered wood products, or EWP, business were more than enough to offset revenue declines in its other three segments. Strength in the North American EWP business also drove a 7.7% consolidated operating margin in the quarter, up substantially from the $196 million loss a year ago. While the EWP business was driven by robust OSB demand and pricing, the remainder of West Fraser’s portfolio did not fare nearly as well, as none of the other three segments reported an operating profit in the quarter. Stagnant housing markets and tepid repair and remodel demand continue to weigh on dimensional lumber demand end markets. Nevertheless, we've increased our fair value estimates for New York Stock Exchange- and Toronto Stock Exchange-listed shares to $94 from $90 and to CAD 129 from CAD 124 per share, respectively.

Price vs Fair Value

WFG is trading at a 869% premium.
Price
CAD 121.58
Fair Value
CAD 892.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
CAD 195.89
5-Star Price
CAD 99.50
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

West Fraser’s growing mill capacity in the southeastern US will reduce its exposure to export taxes and trade disputes, allowing increased profit generation.

Bears

West Fraser’s reliance on lumber and OSB profitability could put the firm at risk during times of economic weakness.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
CAD 117.23
Day Range
CAD 117.16122.23
52-Week Range
CAD 88.61122.23
Bid/Ask
CAD 120.76 / CAD 121.99
Market Cap
CAD 9.77 Bil
Volume/Avg
228,353 / 153,381

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
34.37
Price/Sales
1.13
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
1.36%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
1.43%
Total Yield
4.25%

Company Profile

West Fraser Timber is a softwood lumber company that also produces wood panels and pulp products. The company produces its wood products globally, with lumber mills in British Columbia, Alberta, Europe, and the southeastern United States. Following its acquisition of Norbord in 2021, West Fraser is now one of the largest oriented strand board, or OSB, producers in the world.
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Lumber & Wood Production
Stock Style Box
Mid Value
Total Number of Employees
10,800

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
WFG
CFP
WY
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
34.3732.58
Price/Book Value
0.990.512.29
Price/Sales
1.130.353.07
Price/Cash Flow
9.0123.3222.18
Price/Earnings
WFG
CFP
WY

Financial Strength

Metric
WFG
CFP
WY
Quick Ratio
1.431.001.37
Current Ratio
2.331.992.24
Interest Coverage
5.48−324.713.91
Quick Ratio
WFG
CFP
WY

Profitability

Metric
WFG
CFP
WY
Return on Assets (Normalized)
3.40%−5.81%4.17%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
4.42%−9.44%7.02%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
3.63%−7.64%5.75%
Return on Assets
WFG
CFP
WY
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Lumber & Wood Production Industry Comparables

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Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Capital Allocation
Economic Moat
Market Cap
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West Fraser Timber Co.Ltd
WFG
TvxfgwptJfgfj$7.1 Bil
Stella-Jones Inc
STLJF
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Canfor Corp
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Kvwjfl$228.9 Mil
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