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Company Report

West Fraser Timber is one of the largest softwood lumber and oriented strand board producers in the world, with significant production capacity in Canada, the Southeastern United States, and Europe. New construction and remodeling are the main uses of softwood lumber and OSB products in North America. West Fraser is closely tied to the North American market, which accounts for about 85% of sales (65% US and 20% Canada). As price-takers, West Fraser and its peers see dramatic profit variations depending on the health of housing markets and overall economic conditions.
Company Report

West Fraser Timber is one of the largest softwood lumber and oriented strand board producers in the world, with significant production capacity in Canada, the Southeastern United States, and Europe. New construction and remodeling are the main uses of softwood lumber and OSB products in North America. West Fraser is closely tied to the North American market, which accounts for 85% of sales (65% US and 20% Canada). As price-takers, West Fraser and its peers see dramatic profit variations depending on the health of housing markets and overall economic conditions.
Company Report

West Fraser Timber is one of the largest softwood lumber and oriented strand board producers in the world, with significant production capacity in Canada, the Southeastern United States, and Europe. New construction and remodeling are the main uses of softwood lumber and OSB products in North America. West Fraser is closely tied to the North American market, which accounts for roughly 85% of sales (70% US and 15% Canada). As price-takers, West Fraser and its peers see dramatic profit variations depending on the health of housing markets and overall economic conditions.
Company Report

West Fraser Timber is one of the largest softwood lumber and oriented strand board producers in the world, with significant production capacity in Canada, the Southeastern United States, and Europe. New construction and remodeling are the main uses of softwood lumber and OSB products in North America. West Fraser is closely tied to the North American market, which accounts for roughly 85% of sales (70% US and 15% Canada). As price-takers, West Fraser and its peers see dramatic profit variations depending on the health of housing markets and overall economic conditions.
Company Report

West Fraser is one of the largest softwood lumber and oriented strand board producers in the world, with significant production capacity in Canada, the Southeastern United States, and Europe. New construction and remodeling are the main uses of softwood lumber and OSB products in North America. West Fraser is closely tied to the North American market as it accounts for roughly 85% of sales (70% in US and 15% in Canada). As price-takers, West Fraser and its peers see dramatic profit variations depending on the health of housing markets and overall economic conditions.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat-rated West Fraser reported first-quarter results that were largely in line with our expectations. Net sales fell 10% year over year, driven by weakness in the company’s North America engineered wood product business. That said, West Fraser reported a USD 65 million operating profit, up from USD 48 million a year ago as the lumber business reported its first quarterly operating profit in over two years. This was driven by pricing gains in lumber in the quarter but partially offset by lower shipments due to weather disruptions. Nevertheless, West Fraser is still navigating a challenging operating environment as higher interest rates constrain the housing market, and the impact of new tariffs could cause a slowdown in building and subsequent decline in lumber demand. As such, we've decreased our fair value estimates for New York Stock Exchange and Toronto Stock Exchange-listed shares to $87 from $90 and to CAD 121 from CAD 128 per share, respectively.
Company Report

West Fraser is one of the largest softwood lumber and oriented strand board producers in the world, with significant production capacity in Canada, the Southeastern United States, and Europe. New construction and remodeling are the main uses of softwood lumber and OSB products in North America. West Fraser is closely tied to the North American market as it accounts for roughly 85% of sales (70% in US and 15% in Canada). As price-takers, West Fraser and its peers see dramatic profit variations depending on the health of housing markets and overall economic conditions.
Stock Analyst Note

On March 4, the US implemented tariffs on Canadian lumber and wood products of 25%. This 25% tariff is in addition to the current 14.54% countervailing duty on lumber imports from Canada, bringing the total to almost 40%. For years the US has accused Canada of producing artificially low-priced lumber because timberland in Canada is largely owned by the government and it sets the stumpage fees. The US has argued that Canadian lumber producers benefit from artificially low timber prices while US producers pay market price for timber. The most recent policy for countervailing duties on Canadian lumber was set by the US in 2019 and revised to 14.52% in August 2024, with revised duties set for August 2025, where many expect a significant hike. It’s not clear yet if the new tariffs will last a few days, weeks, months, or longer, but prolonged tariffs and the expected increase in countervailing duties later this year could drive significant increases in lumber prices. While tariffs could have an adverse effect on lumber producers, we are leaving our fair value estimates in place.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat-rated West Fraser reported underwhelming fourth-quarter results driven by lower lumber volume and declining oriented strand board prices. Net sales fell roughly 7.5% year over year while the USD 65 million operating loss was an improvement from the USD 188 million loss a year ago. Repair and remodel end markets continue to affect West Fraser’s OSB business as higher interest rates constrain existing-home sales in the US. We've maintained our fair value estimate for the NYSE-listed shares at USD 90 but increased our fair value estimate for the Toronto Stock Exchange-listed shares to CAD 128 from CAD 125 due to an increase in the US dollar/Canadian dollar exchange rate.
Company Report

West Fraser is one of the largest softwood lumber and oriented strand board producers in the world, with significant production capacity in Canada, the Southeastern United States, and Europe. New construction and remodeling are the main uses of softwood lumber and OSB products in North America. West Fraser is closely tied to the North American market as it accounts for roughly 85% of sales (70% in US and 15% in Canada). As price-takers, West Fraser and its peers see dramatic profit variations depending on the health of housing markets and overall economic conditions.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat-rated West Fraser reported lackluster third-quarter results as a downturn in pricing weighed heavily on earnings. While West Fraser reaped the benefits of robust OSB pricing in the first half of the year, falling prices during the quarter more than offset shipment growth. Net sales in the quarter tumbled almost 16% year over year as every segment reported significant declines, and West Fraser reported a $108 million operating loss. This loss was driven by the company's lumber business, which was also negatively affected by lower lumber prices in the quarter. West Fraser continues to navigate a challenging operating environment where higher interest rates have frozen existing home sales even as the repair and remodel end-market demand remains constrained. As such, we've decreased our fair value estimates for New York Stock Exchange and Toronto Stock Exchange-listed shares to $90 from $94 and to CAD 125 from CAD 129 per share, respectively.
Company Report

West Fraser is one of the largest softwood lumber and oriented strand board, or OSB, producers in the world, with significant production capacity in Canada, southeastern United States, and Europe. New construction and remodeling are the main uses of softwood lumber and OSB products in North America. West Fraser is closely tied to the North American market as it accounts for roughly 85% of sales (70% in US and 15% in Canada). As price-takers, West Fraser and its peers see dramatic profit variations depending on the health of housing markets and overall economic conditions.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat-rated West Fraser reported solid second-quarter earnings despite mixed end market demand. Net sales climbed 6% year over year as robust gains in its North American engineered wood products, or EWP, business were more than enough to offset revenue declines in its other three segments. Strength in the North American EWP business also drove a 7.7% consolidated operating margin in the quarter, up substantially from the $196 million loss a year ago. While the EWP business was driven by robust OSB demand and pricing, the remainder of West Fraser’s portfolio did not fare nearly as well, as none of the other three segments reported an operating profit in the quarter. Stagnant housing markets and tepid repair and remodel demand continue to weigh on dimensional lumber demand end markets. Nevertheless, we've increased our fair value estimates for New York Stock Exchange- and Toronto Stock Exchange-listed shares to $94 from $90 and to CAD 129 from CAD 124 per share, respectively.
Company Report

West Fraser is one of the largest softwood lumber and oriented strand board, or OSB, producers in the world, with significant production capacity in Canada, southeastern United States, and Europe. New construction and remodeling are the main uses of softwood lumber and OSB products in North America. West Fraser is closely tied to the North American market as it accounts for roughly 85% of sales (70% in US and 15% in Canada). As price-takers, West Fraser and its peers see dramatic profit variations depending on the health of housing markets and overall economic conditions.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat-rated West Fraser reported first-quarter results that were largely in line with our expectations. West Fraser continues to navigate a challenging operating environment as tepid lumber demand weighs on results. Net sales in the first quarter were flat year over year as continued strength in oriented strand board, or OSB, offset declines in lumber, pulp, and paper. While we expect West Fraser to face some challenges in the year, we are encouraged by the continued strength in its OSB operations and expect growth in single-family housing starts to drive additional sales in 2024. We've increased our fair value estimate for New York Stock Exchange- and Toronto Stock Exchange-listed shares to $90 from $89 and to CAD 124 from CAD 120 per share, respectively, due to the time value of money.

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