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Sun Communities Inc SUI

Morningstar Rating
$128.00 +1.86 (1.47%)
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Company Report

Sun Communities Earnings: Same-Store Net Operating Income Growth of 6.7% Better Than Anticipated

Third-quarter results for Sun Communities were better than we anticipated, giving us confidence in our $173 fair value estimate for the no-moat company. Same-store occupancy increased 20 basis points year over year to 97.0%, slightly better than our estimate of 96.8% for the third quarter. Manufactured housing same-store revenue was up 7.4%, below our estimate of 10.0% growth, but recreational vehicle same-store revenue was up 2.2%, better than our estimate of a 0.2% decline, while marina same-store revenue was up 8.4%, in line with our estimate. Combined, total company same-store revenue was up 5.5%. Meanwhile, same-store operating expenses were only up 3.0% in the quarter, leading to same-store net operating income growth of 6.7%, which was better than our estimate of 4.8% growth in the quarter. As a result, Sun Communities reported core funds from operations of $2.57 per share in the third quarter, $0.15 better than our $2.42 estimate.

Price vs Fair Value

SUI is trading at a 26% discount.
Price
$128.00
Fair Value
$227.00
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
$292.82
5-Star Price
$497.50
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Aging population supports rent and NOI growth at a spread above inflation.

Bears

Demand for the sector has already peaked and will flatten out as the target demographic turns 80, which will cause many to sell their residences as they instead move to senior housing facilities.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$126.14
Day Range
$126.40128.70
52-Week Range
$102.74162.45
Bid/Ask
$127.59 / $128.56
Market Cap
$15.93 Bil
Volume/Avg
860,591 / 979,784

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
67.81
Price/Sales
5.09
Dividend Yield
2.91%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
2.95%
Total Yield
3.00%

Company Profile

Sun Communities is a residential REIT that focuses on owning manufactured housing, residential vehicle communities, and marinas. The company currently owns a portfolio of 671 properties, which includes 354 manufactured housing communities, 182 residential vehicle communities, and 135 marina properties. Sun targets owning properties that are desirable as second homes or vacation properties with nearly 50% of the portfolio located in either Florida or Michigan near major bodies of water.
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
REIT - Residential
Stock Style Box
Mid Core
Total Number of Employees
7,594

Competitors

    Valuation

    Metric
    SUI
    Price/Earnings (Normalized)
    67.81
    Price/Book Value
    2.06
    Price/Sales
    5.09
    Price/Cash Flow
    21.07
    Price/Earnings
    SUI

    Financial Strength

    Metric
    SUI
    Quick Ratio
    0.34
    Current Ratio
    0.42
    Interest Coverage
    1.63
    Quick Ratio
    SUI

    Profitability

    Metric
    SUI
    Return on Assets (Normalized)
    1.48%
    Return on Equity (Normalized)
    3.29%
    Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
    3.05%
    Return on Assets
    SUI

    REIT - Residential Industry Comparables

    Ticker
    Name
    Morningstar Rating for Stocks
    Economic Moat
    Market Cap
    AVB
    AvalonBay Communities IncTzmb$24.5 Bil
    EQR
    Equity ResidentialFbqz$21.6 Bil
    INVH
    Invitation Homes IncXcxm$20.4 Bil
    MAA
    Mid-America Apartment Communities IncJznhj$14.5 Bil
    ESS
    Essex Property Trust IncRjv$13.6 Bil
    ELS
    Equity Lifestyle Properties IncWjy$13.1 Bil
    AMH
    American Homes 4 Rent Class AFwvzv$13.0 Bil
    UDR
    UDR IncKsbgk$11.0 Bil
    AIRC
    Apartment Income REIT Corp Class ATjbns$4.5 Bil