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Invitation Homes Inc INVH

Morningstar Rating
$33.94 +0.58 (1.74%)
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Company Report

Invitation Homes Earnings: Expense Growth Remains Elevated While Company Completes Major Acquisition

Third-quarter results for Invitation Homes were in line with our expectations, leading us to reaffirm our $41 fair value estimate for the no-moat company. Same-store occupancy fell 70 basis points sequentially to 96.9%, relatively in line with our estimate of 97.0%. Meanwhile, average rents increased 6.2% year over year, close to our estimate of 5.9% growth for the third quarter, which led to same-store revenue growth of 6.0%. Same-store operating expenses remain elevated with the company reporting 10.2% year-over-year growth, though expense growth has been decelerating each quarter since the company reported what appears to be the peak of 16.3% growth in the fourth quarter of 2022. As a result, same-store net operating income grew 4.0% in the third quarter, which is below our estimate of 5.8% growth. Still, Invitation Homes reported core funds from operations of $0.44 per share in the third quarter that matched our estimate and is up $0.02 from the $0.42 figure the company reported in the third quarter of 2022.

Price vs Fair Value

INVH is trading at a 19% discount.
Price
$33.36
Fair Value
$46.00
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
$14.26
5-Star Price
$62.60
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Positive demographic trends should fuel strong demand for single-family rentals as millennials, a population that has pushed back major life decisions such as marriage and homeownership, start to move into the suburbs.

Bears

Higher home prices due to housing shortages means that Invitation Homes must also pay higher prices to acquire new homes, limiting accretive external growth opportunities.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$33.36
Day Range
$33.2534.03
52-Week Range
$28.5236.53
Bid/Ask
$33.93 / $33.94
Market Cap
$20.78 Bil
Volume/Avg
2.4 Mil / 2.9 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
58.75
Price/Sales
8.56
Dividend Yield
3.12%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
3.12%
Total Yield
3.12%

Company Profile

Invitation Homes owns a portfolio of nearly 83,000 single-family rental homes. The company focuses on owning homes in the starter and move-up segments of the housing market with an average sale price around $300,000 and generally less than 1,800 square feet. The portfolio is spread across 16 target markets that feature high employment and household formation growth with over 70% of the portfolio in the Western U.S. and Florida; 15 of the 16 markets featuring average rents lower than homeownership costs.
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
REIT - Residential
Stock Style Box
Mid Core
Total Number of Employees
1,511

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
INVH
AIRC
ESS
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
58.754.7937.59
Price/Book Value
1.991.832.48
Price/Sales
8.565.678.27
Price/Cash Flow
18.5411.5814.34
Price/Earnings
INVH
AIRC
ESS

Financial Strength

Metric
INVH
AIRC
ESS
Quick Ratio
2.230.211.64
Current Ratio
3.300.261.66
Interest Coverage
2.538.983.61
Quick Ratio
INVH
AIRC
ESS

Profitability

Metric
INVH
AIRC
ESS
Return on Assets (Normalized)
2.83%16.18%4.10%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
5.17%49.12%9.03%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
4.31%19.74%5.37%
Return on Assets
INVH
AIRC
ESS

REIT - Residential Industry Comparables

Ticker
Name
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Economic Moat
Market Cap
AVB
AvalonBay Communities IncGqd$24.6 Bil
EQR
Equity ResidentialXcyq$21.6 Bil
SUI
Sun Communities IncDthnk$16.1 Bil
MAA
Mid-America Apartment Communities IncMcqxy$14.5 Bil
ESS
Essex Property Trust IncKpnqc$13.7 Bil
ELS
Equity Lifestyle Properties IncTbtf$13.3 Bil
AMH
American Homes 4 Rent Class ATssc$13.1 Bil
UDR
UDR IncYbs$11.0 Bil
AIRC
Apartment Income REIT Corp Class ARsb$4.6 Bil