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Invesco Ltd IVZ

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Morningstar’s Analysis

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Inflows and Market Gains Lift Invesco's Q4 AUM to Record Levels; Raising FVE to $18 Per Share

Greggory Warren, CFA Sector Strategist

Analyst Note

| Greggory Warren, CFA |

We've increased our fair value estimate for narrow-moat Invesco to $18 per share from $13 to account for the recovery in the equity, credit, and currency markets following the steep COVID-19-induced sell-off in the March quarter of 2020. Roughly half of the change comes from our belief that Invesco will have more in AUM during 2021-25 than we were previously forecasting (as we adjust the timing and severity of near-term market corrections), with the remainder coming from a slightly better fee and margin outlook as well as a lower statutory tax rate than we were previously forecasting (as it looks less and less likely that corporate tax changes will occur in the near to medium term).

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Company Profile

Business Description

Invesco provides investment management services to retail (70% of managed assets) and institutional (30%) clients. At the end of 2020, the firm had $1.350 trillion in assets under management spread out among its equity (51% of AUM), balanced (6%), fixed-income (22%), alternative investment (13%), and money market (8%) operations. Passive products accounted for 27% of Invesco's total AUM--44% of the company's equity operations and 12% of its fixed-income platform--at the end of 2020. Invesco's U.S. retail business is one of the 10 largest nonproprietary fund complexes in the country. The firm also has a meaningful presence outside the U.S., with just over 30% of its AUM sourced from Canada (2%), the U.K. (5%), continental Europe (11%), and Asia (13%).

1555 Peachtree Street, N.E., Suite 1800, Two Peachtree Pointe
Atlanta, GA, 30309, Bermuda
T +1 404 892-0896
Sector Financial Services
Industry Asset Management
Most Recent Earnings Sep 30, 2020
Fiscal Year End Dec 31, 2020
Stock Type
Employees 8,750