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Hexcel Corp HXL

Morningstar Rating
$63.66 +1.42 (2.28%)
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Company Report

Hexcel Earnings: Expecting Flatter Aerospace Deliveries, Industrials Down; Fair Value Down $3 to $61

Narrow-moat Hexcel's second-quarter results in aerospace and defense markets came in close to our expectations. Still, its sales to other industries declined 25% in the first half, continuing years of declines in markets like windmills and automobiles. The company slightly trimmed its 2024 expectations of aerospace deliveries, driven by customers Airbus and Boeing, who are not accelerating their production pace as much this year as initially planned. We have lowered our fair value estimate by $3 to $61 mainly because we forecast continued declines in the industrials markets for the next decade.

Price vs Fair Value

HXL is trading at a 250% premium.
Price
$63.66
Fair Value
$95.00
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
$32.22
5-Star Price
$96.90
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Commercial aerospace manufacturing has a highly visible revenue runway from increasing flights per capita, despite covid, as middle-class demand in emerging markets grows.

Bears

More than half of 2019 commercial revenue came from wide-body production, which fell 60% by 2021, and we do not expect it to return to 2019 levels until 2029.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$62.24
Day Range
$62.78–64.00
52-Week Range
$58.81–77.09
Bid/Ask
$55.00 / $73.00
Market Cap
$5.20 Bil
Volume/Avg
839,283 / 976,557

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
34.41
Price/Sales
2.92
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
0.88%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
0.96%
Total Yield
1.44%

Company Profile

Founded in 1948, Hexcel designs and manufactures a range of highly engineered composite fibers, fabrics, resins, and structures for use in commercial aerospace, defense, and other industrial markets. These are lighter than metal and perform under rigorous conditions in aircraft frames, wings, engines, and other components and subassemblies. The company's name derives from the six-sided honeycomb structures that lend many of its products their light weight and rigidity. Hexcel's biggest customers are Airbus (38% of 2022 sales) and Boeing (25% of prepandemic sales) and its respective subcontractors.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Stock Style Box
Small Growth
Total Number of Employees
5,590

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
HXL
RTX
BA.
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
34.4121.4519.05
Price/Book Value
3.312.563.59
Price/Sales
2.922.151.66
Price/Cash Flow
18.3926.5016.85
Price/Earnings
HXL
RTX
BA.

Financial Strength

Metric
HXL
RTX
BA.
Quick Ratio
1.340.600.86
Current Ratio
2.750.991.08
Interest Coverage
4.812.407.35
Quick Ratio
HXL
RTX
BA.

Profitability

Metric
HXL
RTX
BA.
Return on Assets (Normalized)
5.47%4.49%6.08%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
9.52%11.30%17.75%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
7.66%8.26%11.67%
Return on Assets
HXL
RTX
BA.
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Aerospace & Defense Industry Comparables

1-Day Chart
Name
Price
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Capital Allocation
Economic Moat
Market Cap
GE Aerospace
GE
CyrshrjgwhTfh$178.6 Bil
RTX Corp
RTX
XvtscxclMkdt$150.9 Bil
Lockheed Martin Corp
LMT
SwffktbksCgzk$124.3 Bil
Boeing Co
BA
ThjtprrhPspt$113.2 Bil
Airbus SE ADR
EADSY
DbtgnmxxwjGwts$110.6 Bil
General Dynamics Corp
GD
MdcrrvbgJzvx$80.0 Bil
TransDigm Group Inc
TDG
HnddnjfkftTvvzy$69.1 Bil
Northrop Grumman Corp
NOC
TbqjkjqrFjdqn$68.8 Bil
BAE Systems PLC ADR
BAESY
QxpklxpkRcpnq$48.8 Bil
Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC ADR
RYCEY
RndfftcMdrws$47.3 Bil

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