Skip to Content

Netflix Inc NFLX

Morningstar Rating
$631.37 −2.72 (0.43%)
View Full Chart
Unlock our analysis with Morningstar Investor

Company Report

Netflix Earnings: Another Exquisite Quarter, Almost Nothing to Nitpick; Fair Value Up 14% to $500

Narrow-moat Netflix reported another outstanding quarter despite diminishing tailwinds from the crackdown on password sharing and the introduction of ad-supported plans. Revenue growth accelerated, and subscriber additions and margins remained at historically high levels. We still believe that recent results represent an especially booming period rather than a durable new norm. However, the firm's current momentum has proven longer lasting than we originally anticipated. We are raising our fair value estimate to $500 per share from $440. We believe the stock is pricing in a continuation of recent trends, and while we maintain that Netflix is best-in-class, we still expect the firm to experience slower periods, making the shares overvalued.

Price vs Fair Value

NFLX is trading at a 166% premium.
Price
$631.53
Fair Value
$889.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
$566.00
5-Star Price
$878.00
Economic Moat
Fffrrl
Capital Allocation
Jvtrxtkvl

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Netflix has already created many hit shows that are exclusively available on its platform and have attracted a massive customer base. The firm’s advantage in cash generation versus competitors makes it more likely this virtuous cycle can continue, with Netflix creating more content that attracts and holds its subscribers.

Bears

Netflix is beginning to face competition that it has not had to deal with in the past. As consumers have more options for quality streaming services, it’s more likely that Netflix could get cut out of some consumer budgets.

Is it the right time to buy, sell, or hold?
Start a free trial of Morningstar Investor to unlock exclusive ratings and continuous analyst coverage to help you decide if NFLX is a good fit for your portfolio.

News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$634.09
Day Range
$629.77646.99
52-Week Range
$344.73697.49
Bid/Ask
$631.40 / $631.89
Market Cap
$270.96 Bil
Volume/Avg
3.1 Mil / 3.3 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
39.94
Price/Sales
7.72
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
Dividend Yield (Forward)
Total Yield
2.99%

Company Profile

Netflix’s relatively simple business model involves only one business, its streaming service. It has the biggest television entertainment subscriber base in both the United States and the collective international market, with more than 275 million subscribers globally. Netflix has exposure to nearly the entire global population outside of China. The firm has traditionally avoided live programming or sports content, instead focusing on on-demand access to episodic television, movies, and documentaries. The firm recently began introducing ad-supported subscription plans, giving the firm exposure to the advertising market in addition to the subscription fees that have historically accounted for nearly all its revenue.
Sector
Communication Services
Industry
Entertainment
Stock Style Box
Large Growth
Total Number of Employees
13,000

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
NFLX
CMCSA
WBD
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
39.949.52
Price/Book Value
12.261.850.46
Price/Sales
7.721.320.50
Price/Cash Flow
38.315.771.09
Price/Earnings
NFLX
CMCSA
WBD

Financial Strength

Metric
NFLX
CMCSA
WBD
Quick Ratio
0.780.540.55
Current Ratio
0.950.660.82
Interest Coverage
11.675.82−0.66
Quick Ratio
NFLX
CMCSA
WBD

Profitability

Metric
NFLX
CMCSA
WBD
Return on Assets (Normalized)
14.72%6.39%−1.84%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
33.34%20.23%−5.08%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
20.97%10.84%−0.61%
Return on Assets
NFLX
CMCSA
WBD
See how this stock stacks up to its competitors with Morningstar Investor

Entertainment Industry Comparables

1-Day Chart
Name
Price
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Capital Allocation
Economic Moat
Market Cap
The Walt Disney Co
DIS
VdcmchcfyGsrw$163.9 Bil
Live Nation Entertainment Inc
LYV
RgvzjbbmrPctlcvn$21.7 Bil
Warner Bros. Discovery Inc Ordinary Shares - Class A
WBD
LmssjypyPzmds$20.4 Bil
Fox Corp Class A
FOXA
PwvrxkqZdldg$16.9 Bil
Fox Corp Class B
FOX
JyhqjsdmQxbl$16.9 Bil
News Corp Class A
NWSA
ZxlythzvdZhmch$15.8 Bil
News Corp Class B
NWS
JjjpryvtBrb$15.8 Bil
Warner Music Group Corp Ordinary Shares - Class A
WMG
HryrvzsrQbhyz$15.4 Bil
Sirius XM Holdings Inc
SIRI
RkgvwkwlkNbzlrxl$14.3 Bil

Sponsor Center