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Berkeley Group Holdings (The) PLC BKG

Morningstar Rating
GBX 5,050.00 +80.00 (1.61%)
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Company Report

UK Homebuilders Remain Attractive Despite Positive Stock Price Reaction to Labour Election Victory

We reiterate the still-significant stock price upside potential for the majority of our UK homebuilder coverage despite the positive homebuilder stock price reaction to a Labour Party victory in the UK general election. Indeed, the election result was widely anticipated given polling in the lead up to the UK general election, which predicted a landslide Labour victory. Nonetheless, the election outcome has emboldened investors, with UK homebuilder stocks leading gains in UK stocks in early trading following the election result on July 5, 2024. Ostensibly, the Labour victory has instilled greater investor confidence that the present urban planning bottlenecks to new housing supply will be appropriately addressed—a key near-term concern that has weighed on UK homebuilder stock prices. Labour’s plans to reinstate support for first homebuyers and to increase supply of other forms of affordable housing are also constructive to the homebuilder industry outlook.

Price vs Fair Value

BKG is trading at a 835% premium.
Price
GBX 4,970.00
Fair Value
GBX 6,446.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
GBX 5,684.00
5-Star Price
GBX 2,174.00
Economic Moat
Rdf
Capital Allocation
Tvjhpkjyy

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Underlying housing demand is likely to benefit from the UK’s changing demographics. The ongoing aging of the population is likely to support demand for new housing over the coming decade as the UK's average household size declines.

Bears

The Residential Property Developer Tax came into effect in 2022, raising the tax burden for the sector over the coming decade.

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Trading Information

Previous Close Price
GBX 4,970.00
Day Range
GBX 4,950.005,060.00
52-Week Range
GBX 3,832.005,360.00
Bid/Ask
GBX 4,458.00 / GBX 0.00
Market Cap
GBX 533.31 Bil
Volume/Avg
164,825 / 297,419

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
11.93
Price/Sales
2.16
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
1.33%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
1.33%
Total Yield
2.71%

Company Profile

Berkeley Group Holdings is a UK homebuilder specializing in large-scale residential-led brownfield redevelopment projects with a particular focus on the London, Birmingham, and south of England housing markets. The group is vertically integrated through the land development, construction, and sales and marketing segments of the residential property development value chain.
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Residential Construction
Stock Style Box
Mid Value
Total Number of Employees
2,802

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
BKG
BDEV
TW.
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
11.9312.4915.48
Price/Book Value
1.480.921.22
Price/Sales
2.161.151.58
Price/Cash Flow
15.6923.6916.10
Price/Earnings
BKG
BDEV
TW.

Financial Strength

Metric
BKG
BDEV
TW.
Quick Ratio
0.640.860.79
Current Ratio
3.574.925.37
Interest Coverage
23.087.1718.49
Quick Ratio
BKG
BDEV
TW.

Profitability

Metric
BKG
BDEV
TW.
Return on Assets (Normalized)
6.78%4.95%5.48%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
13.98%7.02%7.74%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
11.33%6.74%7.47%
Return on Assets
BKG
BDEV
TW.
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