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Allergan's 1st Quarter In Line With Expectations

The wide-moat firm hasn't yet faced competition for Restatsis, so we think our fair value estimate stays mostly intact.

Wide-moat

Overall, performance of Allergan’s key products continues to live up to our expectations, but this year will remain a challenge from generic competition on a number of products like Restasis and Delzicol. Botox grew 12% thanks to strong U.S. therapeutic and international cosmetic sales. While facial filler growth slowed on promotional efforts, we still have an optimistic outlook for this franchise thanks to healthy demand and new products. Growth should accelerate over the back half of the year. Similarly, management’s efforts to shift CoolSculpting to direct distribution in international markets should improve from current growth affected by the transition. We still expect growth to improve in 2019 despite ongoing concerns on new competition on Botox, including the launch of competing CGRPs in migraine.

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About the Author

Michael Waterhouse

Sector Strategist
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Michael Waterhouse is a healthcare strategist for Morningstar Research Services LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. He covers specialty pharmaceutical and life science and diagnostic companies.

Before joining Morningstar in 2010, Waterhouse was a research biologist for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. He was also a volunteer in the Peace Corps.

Waterhouse holds a bachelor’s degree in biology from the University of Georgia. He also holds a master’s degree in business administration from the University of Minnesota, where he participated in the Carlson Funds Enterprise, a student managed investment fund.

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