Copper trades near historical highs at about USD 6.50 per pound, up 10% since our July 2026 update, given mine supply disruptions and tariff-related trade distortions. Zinc and aluminum prices are also stronger, though near-term iron ore futures are little changed.
BHP is likely to increase copper production from existing as well as new mines such as Vicuña over the next decade.
Bears
BHP has shown improved capital allocation since its missteps during the China boom, but continuing high commodity prices could encourage it to once again aggressively expand output.
BHP is a global diversified miner mainly supplying iron ore and copper. The merger of BHP Limited and Billiton PLC created the present-day BHP Group. The dual-listed structure from the 2001 BHP and Billiton merger was collapsed in 2022. Major assets include Pilbara iron ore and Escondida copper. Onshore US oil and gas assets were sold in 2018, and the remaining petroleum assets were spun off and merged with Woodside in 2022, with BHP vesting the Woodside shares it received to BHP shareholders. It purchased copper miner Oz Minerals in fiscal 2023 and half of the Vicuña copper joint venture in fiscal 2025. It is entering the potash market through the development of its Jansen project in Canada. However, due to low prices, BHP placed its nickel business on care and maintenance in 2024.