Allen Good

Morningstar equity analyst Allen Good looks at the prospects for oil and gas giants in the year ahead.

We don't expect a material change our $111 per share fair value estimate.

Despite three consecutive quarterly losses, we're maintaining our $74 fair value estimate and narrow moat rating.

The supermajor has introduced a new framework for shareholder returns.

Despite a difficult market, their advantages are intact.

We don't expect to change our fair value estimate or narrow-moat rating.

Shares have rallied, but valuations are still compelling as the near term remains uncertain.

After a drop in earnings in the first quarter, we view this narrow-moat firm's shares as appealing.

Despite the dividend cut, we are keeping our fair value estimate.

It's likely to be a tough few years, but dividends should remain intact, meaning opportunity exists.

We think Marathon Petroleum and Valero are the most attractive.

The narrow-moat firm's earnings and cash flow have been affected, but our fair value estimate is unchanged.

An assessment of integrated oils' efforts to reduce greenhouse gas intensity.

Assessing the valuation and competitive position of this oil giant.

The major integrated oil group includes many undervalued, stable dividend stocks. Here are our favorites.

We don't think the integrated oil company gets credit for its improvement.

Our fair value estimate and narrow moat rating are unchanged for the firm.

We like its earnings growth potential and cash-generating ability.

We expect dividend growth to reaccelerate in the next few years with growth of midsingle-digits.

The narrow-moat firm reported strong cash flow during the quarter.

But we think this is already priced into the shares.

These companies are finally set to deliver free cash flow, and in several cases the market is missing it.

With integrated oil firms now set to generate more free cash flow, we see several good investment opportunities.

Its plan to increase capital spending sets it apart from integrated peers.

It is reinstating the cash dividend, with plans to increase it.

They've had a nice run, but it probably won't last, and other warning signs are emerging.

The market is underestimating Shell's potential even though the firm hasn't earned an economic moat.

The company also increased its annual organic free cash flow target and reiterated its plans to repurchase shares during the next three years.

We increased our fair value estimate after news of the program that will cover scrip dilution.

We see shares of the narrow-moat firm as fully valued, and are leaving our fair value estimate unchanged.

While the move allows the integrated firm to efficiently monetize midstream assets while largely retaining control, it also represents a fraction of the company’s value.

Out of the path of the hurricane, HollyFrontier stands to benefit from the strengthening of product margins and the widening of the WTI/Brent spread due to refinery outages on the Gulf Coast.

We expect the next CEO to keep the focus on dividend growth while restricting capital to high-return base reinvestment, Permian growth, and only select international major capital projects.

The price paid is reasonable, but not a steal.

Our fair value estimate and narrow moat rating for the firm are intact.

Our fair value estimate and moat rating for the company is unchanged.

We like the refiner's midcycle earnings potential.

The company has set a course for improvement, but it still needs some help from oil prices.

We are increasing our fair value estimate slightly to $82 from $81 for the narrow-moat firm.

The deal removes a high-cost portion of the company's production at an attractive valuation, while generating proceeds that allow it to accelerate its debt reduction and shareholder return plans.

The progress that the new management team has delivered as well as future improvement is largely reflected in the current stock price.

We're sticking with our fair value estimate and think the oil major will generate sufficient cash flow to cover its dividend.

Fourth quarter results were weaker than expected, but Chevron remains one of the better-positioned integrateds to succeed in an environment of ongoing low oil prices.

Our narrow moat rating is unchanged as the firm embraces actions proposed by Elliot Management.

Management's plans seem to be a prudent way to ensure the health of the balance sheet and the safety of the dividend while preserving some upside to potential oil price increases.

A lighter hand in environmental controls bodes well for oil and gas producers.

Results revealed progress in cost-cutting that translated into an improvement in upstream earnings, despite a decline in commodity prices.

The firm's oil sands reserves may eventually be rebooked, but that won't change our valuation given that cash flows will be unaffected.

The potential reduction won't have a meaningful sustainable impact on oil prices.

Management provided guidance that demonstrated continued progress in capturing industry cost deflation and improving operating efficiency.