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Health-Care Funds: Hale and Hearty

Health-care stocks' performance has amazed. Here's an outlook for the sector, along with some active and passive options for investors.

The health-care sector's returns have continued to be very potent. More than almost any other corner of the U.S. equity market, health-care stocks have dazzled in recent years, including the nearly five years since President Barack Obama signed his health-care bill into law.

However, the health sector's performance has impressed over both longer and shorter time periods as well. For the decade ended March 6, 2015, the health-care sector category posted average annualized returns of 13.8%, or more than 6 percentage points above the S&P 500's 7.5% annualized return during that same interval. Over shorter time frames, the sector also has performed very well, returning 21.3% annualized during the past five years, 30.2% during the past three years, 24.0% during the past year, and 7.0% year to date. In every time period, the health-care Morningstar Category average has far outpaced the broad U.S. large-cap benchmark.

It's not just the S&P 500 that the health-care sector has bested. The sector also has outperformed all other U.S. equity sectors during every period studied. And health care also has topped broad large-growth funds as well. Year to date, the large-growth category's 3.5% average return is exactly half that of the health-care sector, and the health-care sector's 24% return during the past year trounces large growth's 9.9% average return. The story isn't much different when looking at longer periods, as large growth's average annualized returns of 17.1% over three years, 14.4% over five years, and 8.2% over a decade all fall considerably short of the health-care sector's stellar returns.

A Perfect (Positive) Storm Why has the health-care sector done so well? Some of it relates to low valuations in 2009 and 2010 of pharmaceutical stocks, which make up anywhere from 40% to 45% of the sector. At that time, investors worried about the impact of U.S. health-care reform and a wave of major patent losses that peaked in 2012.

But drug companies adapted to patent headwinds far better than investors had expected. In addition, drug and biotech firms have enjoyed an improved growth outlook after payers decided to reimburse less for slight enhancements to already-approved drugs. That change prompted pharmaceutical firms to shift their pipeline focus toward unmet medical needs such as cancer and hepatitis C. Now, those new drugs are coming to market, and pharmaceutical firms are seeing the fruits of these innovations. A favorable regulatory environment also has helped matters, resulting in key drug approvals.

On top of all that, the health-care sector has been awash in merger and acquisition activity, which has lifted valuations. Pharmaceutical and device firms continue to merge in an effort to create scale and focus on key strategic areas. Some firms are pushing pairings with foreign players as a way to deploy trapped overseas cash and to make acquisitions abroad in order to reduce the acquisitor's tax rate. The biotechnology sector also has been the target of acquisitions by large pharma firms that have sought to grow externally and add research and development to their pipelines.

A Well-Valued Sector After years of strong gains, Morningstar's equity analysts now consider the health-care sector to be slightly overvalued in aggregate, although there are pockets of value, including the pharmacy benefit manager subsector. As a result, the analysts suggest investors be selective in the sector.

Looking ahead, the health-care sector could post larger returns if patients use more health-care services than expected, which would be driven mostly by U.S. health-care reform. With mandated health-care insurance now in the U.S. and expanded government insurance, more people are seeking out treatment. This is a net positive for most health-care firms. Longer term, Morningstar's equity analysts suggest that investors anticipate various sector headwinds but nonetheless have settled on a positive long-term outlook for the health-care sector.

Broad Passively Managed ETFs for Health-Care Investors

For investors looking for exposure to a basket of health-care stocks, two very large and liquid, broad, passively managed health-care exchange-traded funds are available to investors at a low cost:

Two other broad and passively managed health-care ETFs have less appeal.

The Best Actively Managed Open-End Health Funds For investors seeking active stock-picking in the sector, several open-end mutual funds devoted to health care have delivered outstanding performance in recent years.

Easily the largest actively managed health-sector mutual fund is

Meanwhile, T. Rowe Price Health Sciences PRHSX has significantly outperformed the health-care category in recent periods. Year to date, the fund has returned more than 12% versus the category's nearly 9% return, and in the one-year period ended March 6, 2015, the fund returned more than 32% versus the category's 24% return. The fund hasn't lost a step with the departure of longtime manager Kris Jenner, who exited two years ago. Lead manager Taymour Tamaddon, a longtime analyst on the fund who succeeded Jenner in February 2013, maintains a smaller-cap, growth-oriented bent and also keeps a larger stake in biotechnology (currently 33% of the fund) than the 23% biotech weighting in the MSCI U.S. Investable Health Care 25/50 Index benchmark. The fund also has a smaller allocation to the pharmaceutical industry than the MSCI index. Investors who stuck with T. Rowe Price Health Sciences through the transition from Jenner to Tamaddon have enjoyed terrific annualized returns of 38.5% during the past three years, 29.0% during the past five years, and 19.1% during the past decade.

Fidelity Select Health Care Portfolio FSPHX has outperformed its category over the past one-, three-, five-, and 10-year periods, returning 25.8%, 37.3%, 26.8%, and 15.6%, respectively. Lead manager Eddie Yoon also has favored a higher stake in biotech firms than peers and the MSCI U.S. Investable Health Care 25/50 Index, along with a lower weighting in pharmaceutical firms.

All three of the above funds have posted investor returns that have only slightly trailed the funds' total returns over both short- and longer-term periods.

Disclosure: Morningstar, Inc.'s Investment Management division licenses indexes to financial institutions as the tracking indexes for investable products, such as exchange-traded funds, sponsored by the financial institution. The license fee for such use is paid by the sponsoring financial institution based mainly on the total assets of the investable product. Please click here for a list of investable products that track or have tracked a Morningstar index. Neither Morningstar, Inc. nor its investment management division markets, sells, or makes any representations regarding the advisability of investing in any investable product that tracks a Morningstar index.

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About the Author

Robert Goldsborough

Robert Goldsborough is an analyst covering equity strategies on Morningstar’s manager research team. He focuses on U.S.-equity sector open-end, closed-end, and exchange-traded funds, including real estate and master limited partnership funds.

Before joining Morningstar in 2010, he was a consulting equity analyst for Crystal Rock Capital Management. He spent seven years at Ariel Investments as an equity analyst and later as a vice president of research and a member of the firm’s Investment Committee. Before Ariel, he was an associate equity analyst for UBS Global Asset Management. He has also worked as a research associate for Kirk Tyson International, a freelance reporter for the Chicago Tribune, and an investigative reporting associate for WBBM-TV in Chicago.

Goldsborough holds a bachelor’s degree in modern languages from Knox College, a master’s degree in news management from Northwestern University’s Medill School of Journalism, and a master’s degree in business administration from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business.

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