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Genuine Parts Co GPC

Morningstar Rating
$160.23 +16.16 (11.22%)
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Company Report

Genuine Parts Earnings: Top-Line Growth Normalizing, but Shares Rise on Solid Margins and Outlook

Narrow-moat Genuine Parts delivered mixed first-quarter results as expanding segment margins (up 30 basis points to 9.4%) helped offset lackluster demand across its automotive and industrial distribution businesses. Despite the weak top line—sales growth of 1% excluding currency impacts underperformed our 2.8% forecast—the shares soared over 10% as management reaffirmed its full-year outlook for low-single-digit comparable sales growth and adjusted earnings per share of $9.80-$9.95, which lands closely in line with our expectations. We expect to see sequential top-line improvement as annual comparisons are bound to ease, leaving our outlook mostly intact. We plan to modestly raise our $146 fair value estimate due to the time value of money and a slight increase in our segment margin forecast.

Price vs Fair Value

GPC is trading at a 10% premium.
Price
$160.23
Fair Value
$128.00
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
$137.30
5-Star Price
$394.30
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

The aging US vehicle fleet serves as a catalyst for underlying auto parts demand, driving growth in Genuine’s automotive segment.

Bears

A growing electric vehicle fleet poses a long-term threat to the auto parts industry as demand for internal combustion engine components abates.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$144.07
Day Range
$155.88164.45
52-Week Range
$126.35174.91
Bid/Ask
$158.25 / $162.62
Market Cap
$22.34 Bil
Volume/Avg
3.9 Mil / 1.1 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
17.57
Price/Sales
0.98
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
2.40%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
2.50%
Total Yield
3.44%

Company Profile

Genuine Parts sells aftermarket automotive parts (about 60% of sales) and industrial products (40% of sales) in the United States and internationally. The automotive segment primarily acts as a distributor to its network of 9,800 global retail locations of which about two thirds are independently owned and operated. We estimate Genuine serves around 6,000 retail locations in the US operating under the Napa Auto Parts brand, with about 80% of sales geared toward professional customers. Its industrial segment, primarily operating under the Motion banner in the United States, serves as a leading distributor of bearings, power transmission, and other industrial products to over 200,000 maintenance, repair, and original equipment manufacturer clients.
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Specialty Retail
Stock Style Box
Mid Core
Total Number of Employees
60,000

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
GPC
AZO
GWW
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
17.5720.3026.15
Price/Book Value
5.0715.15
Price/Sales
0.983.062.91
Price/Cash Flow
13.4917.2320.97
Price/Earnings
GPC
AZO
GWW

Financial Strength

Metric
GPC
AZO
GWW
Quick Ratio
0.420.091.56
Current Ratio
1.230.822.88
Interest Coverage
28.039.4427.88
Quick Ratio
GPC
AZO
GWW

Profitability

Metric
GPC
AZO
GWW
Return on Assets (Normalized)
7.59%16.83%23.29%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
31.53%64.65%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
15.74%46.39%32.58%
Return on Assets
GPC
AZO
GWW
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