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ESR Group Ltd 01821

Morningstar Rating
HKD 11.96 −0.38 (3.08%)
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Company Report

ESR Group: Possible Privatization by Consortium of Investors; Shares Undervalued

Narrow-moat ESR Group has received a privatization proposal from a consortium of investors composed of Starwood Capital, Sixth Street Partners, and SSW Partners. Under the proposal, shareholders can either choose to receive cash consideration or shares in the privatized company. ESR Group has formed an independent board committee and retained Citigroup Global Markets Asia Limited as a financial adviser to help evaluate the proposal. The independent board committee excludes the group’s founders, Stuart Gibson, Charles de Portes, and Jinchu Shen, as well as Jeffrey Perlman of Warburg Pincus (key shareholder of ESR Group), as they are in discussion with the consortium and believe the proposal is in the best interest of ESR Group’s shareholders. No offer price has been announced so far, but we think the price will need to be comparable with our fair value estimate of HKD 15.80 per share to entice shareholder acceptance. Currently, the shares are trading at a 37% discount to our valuation.

Price vs Fair Value

01821 is trading at a 45% premium.
Price
HKD 12.34
Fair Value
HKD 81.20
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
HKD 98.84
5-Star Price
HKD 83.21
Economic Moat
Bmjcmm
Capital Allocation
Jdctfcfp

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

ESR Group’s fully integrated real estate platform and business model enable it to retain long-term operational control of its assets while capturing fee income across the life cycle of the assets.

Bears

Upcoming increases in interest rates will raise financing costs and cost of capital, making it difficult for the group to raise new funds and grow its profitability.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
HKD 12.34
Day Range
HKD 11.8012.30
52-Week Range
HKD 7.1815.08
Bid/Ask
HKD 11.94 / HKD 11.96
Market Cap
HKD 50.38 Bil
Volume/Avg
7.1 Mil / 11.9 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
81.44
Price/Sales
7.97
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
2.03%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
2.03%
Total Yield
5.24%

Company Profile

ESR Group, or ESR, is one of the largest real asset managers in the Asia-Pacific, with USD 156 billion in total assets under management as of Dec. 31, 2023. Most of its earnings are derived from fund management, where it manages underlying assets in investment vehicles such as a fund or REIT for fee income and a share of profits. It also develops and holds investment properties on its balance sheet for rental income and capital appreciation and will divest them into its managed funds and REITs over time to unlock and recycle the capital into other investment opportunities. In addition, to align its interest with its capital partners, ESR co-invests in the funds and REITs that it manages where it generates dividend income, pro rata earnings and value appreciation.
Sector
Real Estate
Industry
Real Estate Services
Stock Style Box
Large Value
Total Number of Employees
2,298

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
01821
GMG
9CI
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
81.4442.6536.42
Price/Book Value
0.883.720.97
Price/Sales
7.9733.804.95
Price/Cash Flow
332.1771.6035.24
Price/Earnings
01821
GMG
9CI

Financial Strength

Metric
01821
GMG
9CI
Quick Ratio
1.220.900.94
Current Ratio
1.501.201.25
Interest Coverage
2.153.321.50
Quick Ratio
01821
GMG
9CI

Profitability

Metric
01821
GMG
9CI
Return on Assets (Normalized)
2.47%2.11%0.98%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
5.07%2.79%2.34%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
3.62%2.24%2.01%
Return on Assets
01821
GMG
9CI
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