Ganfeng reported 36% year-on-year growth in net profit in the third quarter. Despite average lithium prices doubling from last year’s level, gross margin only recovered to 20% from 17% a year ago.
Lithium demand will remain resilient, driven by vehicle electrification. Lithium prices are expected to recover from the current low level in the next few years.
Bears
Decrease in the price of the lithium mines or lithium compounds will significantly affect Ganfeng’s profitability, resulting in significant decline and volatility in earnings forecast.
Ganfeng is the world’s third largest and China’s largest lithium compounds producer and the world’s largest lithium metals producer in terms of production capacity. The company offers five major categories of more than 40 lithium compounds and metals products, which is one of the most comprehensive product offerings among the suppliers globally. Starting as a midstream manufacturer of lithium compounds and lithium metals, the company has successfully expanded into a vertically integrated business model with operations along the critical stages of the industry value chain, including upstream lithium extraction, midstream lithium compounds and metals processing, and downstream lithium battery production and recycling.