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Neil Macker, CFA

Neil Macker, CFA, is a senior equity analyst for Morningstar.

More From Neil Macker

We continue to think that the expansion of Disney+, HBO Max, and other services will increase churn and pressure gross adds for Netflix over the near future. We maintain our narrow moat and fair value estimate of $250.

Disney posted a strong start to fiscal 2021 as first-quarter revenue beat FactSet consensus. We are maintaining our wide moat and plan to modestly increase our $140 fair value estimate.

We believe Warner Bros. studio's announcement to release its entire 2021 movie slate simultaneously in movie theaters and on HBO Max is a reasonable response to the pandemic.

Despite tremendous subscriber growth, there may not be enough leverage in the current business model.

Despite a COVID-19-related revenue drop, the long-term outlook is positive as Disney continues to expand its direct relationships with consumers around the world. We maintain our wide moat and our $127 fair value estimate.

Despite subscriber additions ahead of our estimate, revenue for the narrow-moat company was only 1% ahead of our projections for the first quarter.

We believe new CEO Chapek will continue to run the Iger playbook at least over the near term, and we are maintaining our wide moat rating and fair value estimate.

More About Neil Macker

Neil Macker, CFA, is a senior equity analyst for Morningstar Research Services LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. He covers media/entertainment and video game publishers.

Before joining Morningstar in 2014, Macker was a senior equity research associate for FBR & Co., where he covered the telecommunications services sector. Previously, he was an associate equity analyst for R.W. Baird and completed the summer associate rotational program at UBS Investment Bank. Before attending business school, Macker held analytical roles at Corporate Executive Board and Nextel.

Macker holds a bachelor’s degree from Carleton College, where he graduated cum laude, and a master’s degree in business administration from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania. He also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation.

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