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Company Report

IGM Financial traces its history to 1926, starting as the Investors Group wealth management firm. In 2001, IG acquired Mackenzie asset management, creating IGM Financial. The wealth management segment accounts for 70% of its revenue, and is still IGM's bread and butter.
Company Report

While IGM Financial has historically produced solid operating margins and held a leading share in the Canadian mutual fund market, we've been less than impressed with its organic AUM growth. Both its asset-management (Mackenzie Investments) and wealth-management (IG Wealth Management) arms have consistently struggled to generate positive flows in their asset management operations, despite meaningful price cuts aimed at making their funds more competitive. To us, this is a sign of the weaker competitive position IGM has relative to the Big Six banks and life insurers in the Canadian market, with poor investment performance, higher fees, and a reliance on a closed advisor network leaving the firm more exposed to the industry's secular headwinds.
Stock Analyst Note

We've increased our fair value estimate for no-moat-rated IGM Financial to CAD 47 per share from CAD 42 to account for revised near-term expectations for AUM, revenue, and profitability since our last update. IGM closed out September 2024 with CAD 249.3 billion in combined assets under management, or AUM, up 13.9% year over year. Consolidated net outflows of CAD 288 million during the quarter were reflective of a negative 0.5% annualized rate of organic AUM growth, at the upper end of our forecast range of negative 3% to 0% for average annual organic AUM growth during 2024-28.
Company Report

While IGM Financial has historically generated solid operating margins and held a leading share in the Canadian mutual fund market, we've been less than impressed with its organic assets under management, or AUM, growth. Both its asset-management (Mackenzie Investments) and wealth-management (IG Wealth Management) arms have consistently struggled to generate positive flows in their asset management operations, despite meaningful price cuts aimed at making their funds more competitive. To us, this is a sign of the weaker competitive position IGM has relative to the Big Six banks and life insurers in the Canadian market, with poor investment performance, higher fees, and a reliance on a closed advisor network leaving the firm more exposed to the industry's secular headwinds.
Stock Analyst Note

While we no longer believe that IGM Financial has an economic moat, we have raised our fair value estimate to CAD 42 per share from CAD 40 to account for revised near-term expectations for assets under management, revenue, and profitability. We've become increasingly concerned that a greater-than-expected correction in the equity markets over the next 5-10 years and/or an even more aggressive push by the Big Six banks—Royal Bank of Canada, Toronto-Dominion Bank, Scotiabank, Bank of Montreal, Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce, and National Bank of Canada—to use price to drive growth and take more share of the Canadian fund market would leave firmwide returns on invested capital well below the weighted average cost of capital in some years during the next decade. This is the case in most years of our bear-case scenario, which includes equity market declines greater than our base-case market corrections in 2026-27 and 2031-32, but no aggressive push by the Big Six—just a continuation of existing competitive pressures.
Company Report

While IGM Financial has historically generated solid operating margins and held a leading share in the Canadian mutual fund market, we've been less than impressed by its ability to generate positive flows. Both its asset-management (Mackenzie Investments) and wealth-management (IG Wealth Management) arms have consistently struggled to generate organic growth in assets under management, which has only been modestly positive the past five years for the combined subsidiaries despite meaningful price cuts aimed at making their funds more competitive. To us, this is a sign of the weaker competitive position IGM has relative to the Big Six banks and life insurers in the Canadian market, with poor investment performance, higher fees, and a reliance on a closed advisor network leaving the firm more exposed to the industry's secular headwinds.

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