Near Term Positive on Record Lotteries, but We See Long-Term Competitive Challenges for Jumbo

Although we expect Jumbo’s core lottery retailing business will keep ceding market share to Lottery Corp.’s The Lott platform, its continued growth is underpinned by a channel mix shift to more lottery ticket sales moving online. Jumbo is principally a digital reseller of Lottery Corp. tickets through its Oz Lotteries platform, generating revenue by charging a premium, typically 10%-30%, on tickets sold. Largely a result of its first-mover advantage, Jumbo has accumulated a sizable customer base of around 4 million, on our estimation, although each year only around 1 million customers make a transaction.