Biden Executive Order on EVs Is in Line With Our Thesis for Higher U.S. and Global EV Adoption

On Aug. 5, U.S. President Joe Biden announced plans to sign an executive order calling for electric vehicles to be 40%-50% of new auto sales in the United States by 2030. The target includes battery electric vehicles and plug-in hybrids. This mirrors our thesis that the U.S. will see 30% EV adoption and 50% hybrid adoption, of which we expect plug-in hybrids will be 10%-20%, by 2030. Though the order is nonbinding, this aligns with stated plans from multiple U.S. automakers. As a result, we maintain our U.S. EV and hybrid adoption outlook. Using our regional buildup model, we continue to forecast that EVs and hybrids will make up 2 of every 3 autos sold globally by 2030, with 30% coming from EVs.