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Comcast: Good Results, But Shares Too Pricey

Strong cable results, solid box-office receipts, and rapid theme-park growth drove Comcast’s third quarter, writes Morningstar’s Mike Hodel.

Comcast’s cable business continues to post impressive results, steadily increasing its customer base at the expense of its phone rivals. The firm added 156,000 net customer relationships during the quarter, up from 82,000 added a year ago. Within the product segments, Comcast lost 48,000 television customers during the quarter, another sharp improvement from the prior year (81,000 net losses), while net Internet-access customer growth accelerated to 320,000, up from 315,000 a year ago, marking the best third-quarter performance since 2009. Deployment of the X1 platform accelerated during the quarter, and about 25% of television customers now use the service, which is far superior to Comcast’s legacy television product. In addition, the firm continues to press its Internet-speed advantage, with nearly three fourths of its customers receiving 50 megabit service or better.

Universal's fantastic performance at the box office fueled 20%-plus revenue growth at NBCU for the second consecutive quarter. Studio revenue will likely decline from here as the movie slate takes a breather, but the firm has clearly built additional franchise value during the past year. On the negative side, cable ad revenue remains weak, with its 2% growth resulting from NBCU’s new deal with NASCAR. The cost of NASCAR rights and other programming investments pulled the margin for the cable network segment down 4 percentage points to 34.6%. We continue to believe that trends in the cable networks warrant careful attention, as this segment drives nearly two thirds of NBCU profits.

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The author or authors do not own shares in any securities mentioned in this article. Find out about Morningstar’s editorial policies.

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About the Author

Michael Hodel

Director of Equity Research, Media & Telecom
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Michael Hodel, CFA, is director of communications services equity research for Morningstar Research Services, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. He covers U.S. telecom service providers and related firms, including AT&T, Verizon, and Comcast. His team covers media companies, global telecom service providers, and owners of telecom infrastructure, such as wireless towers and data centers.

Hodel joined Morningstar in 1998. Prior to his current position, he spent two years as a portfolio manager for Morningstar Investment Management, LLC. Previously, he served as a technology strategist responsible for telecom research, chair of Morningstar’s Economic Moat Committee, and a senior member of Morningstar’s corporate credit ratings initiative.

Hodel holds a bachelor’s degree in finance, with highest honors, from the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign and a master’s degree in business administration from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business. He also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst® designation.

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