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8 Funds That Investors Are Fleeing in Droves

Should you hold on or bail?

Last week, I wrote about funds with high levels of inflows. Today, I'll look at some that people are fleeing. The outflow figures are for the 12 months ended May 2015.

PIMCO Total Return

PTTRX

, Negative $125 Billion

Why the big outflows?

The Bill Gross kerfuffle. We just reaffirmed our Bronze Morningstar Analyst Rating on the fund, as things have actually gone pretty well since Gross' departure. The outflows are the biggest negative, but they have had little to no impact on returns, and performance has been solid. The new three-person team seems to be functioning well so far, though we'll want to see more evidence of that before considering an upgrade. Outflows have finally started to slow down, though there's no telling when they'll actually end. I haven't touched my PIMCO Total Return investment (other than rebalancing) since Gross left, and I think that's the wise course for most people.

PIMCO Unconstrained Bond PUBDX

, Negative $14 Billion

Why?

Even before Gross left, investors were bailing on the fund because of disappointing performance and manager turnover. I see no reason to rush into this one given those issues but also because I really want to see how new manager Marc Seidner uses the fund's very broad mandate. He's the third manager in 14 months, so let's take our time seeing what territory he marks out. When this fund was launched in 2008, the excitement was huge as investors streamed in. They hoped the fund would be a winner whether rates rose or dropped, but instead it had pedestrian returns and stumbled a few times. It has a Morningstar Analyst Rating of Neutral. We'll see how it behaves under its new management.

Thornburg International Value TGVAX

, Negative $11 Billion

Why?

Poor returns have spurred big redemptions, though the trailing 12-month return is decent. The outflows represent more than half the fund's asset base a year ago, and that's a problem for an equity fund. The fund was a poor performer from 2011–14. It will need to sustain the recent rally to staunch the outflows. Once they do stop, this Bronze-rated fund could be a decent bet. A bias toward emerging markets and energy stocks has hurt, but the market can rotate back at any time.

PIMCO Low Duration PLDDX, Negative $10 Billion

Why?

Gross was formerly the manager at this fund. It, too, had a couple of years of weak performance that no doubt spurred the redemptions. Now, Scott Mather and Jerome Schneider are at the helm. Schneider heads PIMCO's short-term desk, so he was a logical addition. We rate the fund Bronze because of the talented pair heading it and because of PIMCO's depth in this area. It's worth holding on, though I'd caution against using it as a money market substitute given that it dips into lower-quality debt.

Fidelity Contrafund

FCNTX, Negative $8 Billion

Why?

Some of the outflows are due to some retirement plans' conversion to Collective Investment Trusts. (Fidelity hasn't said how much.) The rest is hard to explain given that performance has remained solid if unexceptional. I would certainly stick with Will Danoff as long as he's at Fidelity Contrafund. His record is remarkable. To be sure, the fund's massive asset base is a handicap, but he's had great success with a big fund for many years. We rate it Silver.

American Funds Growth Fund of America AGTHX, Negative $8 Billion

Why?

Although the trailing three-year returns are strong, the fund endured a five-year stretch of pedestrian returns from 2007 through 2011. This is one case where redemptions are a plus. The fund needed to go on a diet, and it has. Now, this Bronze-rated fund looks more appealing. It still has good management and low costs going for it. I'd stick with it.

PIMCO All Asset All Authority PAUDX, Negative $8 Billion

Why?

Lousy recent performance has spurred an exodus. Rob Arnott thinks emerging markets have far more appeal than the United States, but the former lagged far behind the latter in 2013 and 2014 before outperforming thus far in 2015. Thus, the fund's once-strong record has taken a hit, particularly in recent years. However, a little market rotation can fix that. We rate the fund Silver, so of course I'd stay with it.

Columbia Acorn ACRNX, Negative $8 Billion

Why?

Performance has slumped badly. We rate this fund Neutral not just because of the slump but also because outflows are a much bigger problem for a fund that holds a lot of small caps, as this one does. Small caps don't have as much liquidity as larger names, so it can get ugly when a manager is forced to sell. They can end up driving down prices on themselves, and that can spur more redemptions. So, when a small/mid-cap fund like this has such huge outflows, there's a real danger that it will hurt returns. On May 1, Columbia Acorn announced lead manager Rob Mohn plans to retire later this year. That's another reason to stay away.

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About the Author

Russel Kinnel

Director
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Russel Kinnel is director of ratings, manager research, for Morningstar Research Services LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Morningstar, Inc. He heads the North American Medalist Rating Committee, which vets the Morningstar Medalist Rating™ for funds. He is the editor of Morningstar FundInvestor, a monthly newsletter, and has published a number of prominent studies of the fund industry covering subjects such as manager investment, expenses, and investor returns.

Since joining Morningstar in 1994, Kinnel has analyzed virtually every type of fund and has covered the most prominent fund families, including Fidelity, T. Rowe Price, and Vanguard. He has led studies on the predictive power of fund data and helped develop the Morningstar Rating for funds and the Morningstar Style Box methodology. He was co-author of the company's first book, Morningstar Guide to Mutual Funds: 5-Star Strategies for Success (Wiley, 2003), and was author of the book Fund Spy: Morningstar's Inside Secrets to Selecting Mutual Funds That Outperform, published in 2009.

Kinnel holds a bachelor's degree in economics and journalism from the University of Wisconsin.

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