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Investing Specialists

Housing Recovery Should Gain Ground in 2015 and Beyond

Conditions are looking better, but headwinds remain for housing.

  • 2014 was a difficult year for housing, as high prices, stagnant income growth, and ballooning student loan balances all limited 2014 sales of new single-family and existing homes.
  • Higher wages, favorable long-term demographics, pent-up demand, skyrocketing rents, and moderating home prices should aid the conventional home market in 2015 and beyond.
  • Nonetheless, remodeling expenditures, interest in apartment living, and more demand for centrally located housing could alter the complexion and the length of this housing recovery.

2014 was a disappointing year for the housing market. Although most expectations were high, even our modest forecast of 1.05-1.10 million starts proved to be too optimistic. After a lethargic 2014, we believe that the housing market will pick up in 2015 and beyond. Higher wages, improved labor market conditions, skyrocketing rents, and improving long-term demographics all provide a more favorable outlook. However, although conditions are becoming better, the housing recovery continues to battle significant headwinds.

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