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XPO Inc XPO

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Stock XNYS Rating as of
$110.90 −7.35 (6.22%)
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As of Delayed Price Closed
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Company Report

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2024 Growth Outlook Positive Thanks to Yellow's Share Gains and Favorable Pricing

Matthew Young

XPO got its start in mid-2011, when entrepreneur Brad Jacobs led an equity investment in expedited freight brokerage firm Express-1 Expedited Solutions. Jacobs launched an acquisition strategy targeting the asset-light US highway brokerage industry. By mid-2013, XPO's deal focus evolved beyond truck brokerage into heavy-goods last-mile delivery, intermodal, and global contract logistics. Then in 2015, XPO jumped into the asset-based trucking landscape with the acquisition of less-than-truckload carrier Con-Way.

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Price vs Fair Value

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XPO is trading at a 51% premium.
Price
$120.84
Fair Value
$21.00
Uncertainty
High
1-Star Price
$514.00
5-Star Price
$65.00
Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Share gains from bankrupt LTL peer Yellow have provided a material boost to XPO's tonnage and network density.

Bears

Underlying demand across the broader trucking industry is facing near-term headwinds from sluggish industrial end markets and muted retail sector inventory restocking.

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News

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Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$118.25
Day Range
$103.71–112.53
52-Week Range
$40.69–130.51
Bid/Ask
$110.05 / $111.30
Market Cap
$12.90 Bil
Volume/Avg
4.8 Mil / 1.4 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
38.00
Price/Sales
1.69
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
—
Dividend Yield (Forward)
—
Total Yield
—

Company Profile

Following the spinoff of its contract logistics division (GXO) in 2021 and freight brokerage operations (RXO) in 2022, XPO is moving closer to becoming a pure-play asset-based less-than-truckload carrier. On a pro forma basis for the November RXO spinoff, We estimate LTL shipping now makes up 60% of total revenue, with XPO's European truckload and LTL operations making up 40%. That said, XPO's LTL segment EBITDA mix is much higher than 60%. We believe XPO intends to divest its European trucking division once it finds the right buyer.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Trucking
Stock Style Box
Mid Core
Total Number of Employees
40,900
Website
https://www.xpo.com

Competitors

Valuation

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Metric
XPO
SAIA
ODFL
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
 38.0032.2932.40
Price/Book Value
 10.165.609.02
Price/Sales
 1.693.866.81
Price/Cash Flow
 16.5020.3224.72
Price/Earnings
XPO
SAIA
ODFL

Financial Strength

Metric
XPO
SAIA
ODFL
Quick Ratio
 0.871.891.93
Current Ratio
 1.002.012.10
Interest Coverage
 2.55182.473,524.66
Quick Ratio
XPO
SAIA
ODFL

Profitability

Metric
XPO
SAIA
ODFL
Return on Assets (Normalized)
 5.26%14.88%24.05%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
 30.62%20.04%31.48%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
 10.36%18.32%30.55%
Return on Assets
XPO
SAIA
ODFL
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Trucking Industry Comparables

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Name
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Capital Allocation
Economic Moat
Market Cap
ODFL
Old Dominion Freight Line Inc Ordinary SharesKcxtpwqhfHpbgjv$39.7 Bil
SAIA
Saia IncPxwlvzzghJpdd$14.4 Bil
TFII
TFI International Inc—Mtnsqj$11.9 Bil
KNX
Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc Class AHdhpqgwXdxw$7.5 Bil
YATRY
Yamato Holdings Co Ltd ADR—Fnfn$4.6 Bil
YATRF
Yamato Holdings Co Ltd—Vpvtz$4.6 Bil
SNDR
Schneider National IncGhgmqtrjRlmlxl$3.8 Bil
ARCB
ArcBest CorpQszbxqpmxSnygmx$3.0 Bil
RXO
RXO Inc—Xbnx$2.3 Bil

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