Commodity prices diverged in the quarter. Despite solid China steel production, iron ore and metallurgical coal prices are down, while copper rose on supply issues and hopes of faster global growth. However, prices are elevated compared with history and cost-curve support.
Newmont is the world’s largest gold miner, with copper and other byproducts providing some diversification, representing around 15% of forecast midcycle revenue from 2028.
Bears
Bigger is not always better in gold mining. Newmont's operations span five continents, increasing complexity and difficulty managing the assets.
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Newmont is the world's largest gold miner. It bought Goldcorp in 2019, combined its Nevada mines in a joint venture with competitor Barrick later that year, and also purchased competitor Newcrest in November 2023. Its portfolio includes 17 wholly or majority owned mines and interests in two joint ventures in the Americas, Africa, Australia and Papua New Guinea. The company is expected to produce roughly 6.9 million ounces of gold in 2024. However, after buying Newcrest, Newmont is likely to sell a number of its higher cost, smaller mines accounting for 20% of forecast sales in 2024. Newmont also produces material amounts of copper, silver, zinc, and lead as byproducts. It had about two decades of gold reserves along with significant byproduct reserves at end December 2023.