The Kroger Co KR

Morningstar Rating
$59.48 +0.86 (1.47%)
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Company Report

Kroger's Reinvestment Initiatives Defend Relevance, but Lacks the Power to Drive Durable Share Gains

As the largest US dedicated supermarket operator, Kroger should be equipped to navigate an increasingly competitive landscape. However, even as it captures 6% of the grocery retail market, we believe it lacks enduring intangible assets or the structural cost advantages of price-led giants like Walmart and convenience-focused rivals like Amazon. We view the firm’s strategy to leverage its more than 2,700 stores as fresh food and omnichannel hubs as a necessary evolution to maintain relevance in an industry where customer switching costs are virtually nonexistent, rather than affording the ability to carve out an edge.

Price vs Fair Value

KR is trading at a LOCK|<sfX#l premium.
Price
$59.48
Fair Value
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Uncertainty
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1-Star Price
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5-Star Price
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Economic Moat
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Capital Allocation
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Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

Faster-than-expected scaling of retail media and data monetization could lift EBIT above our forecast, funding incremental price investment without margin erosion.

Bears

Intense price competition from Walmart, Costco, and Aldi could force deeper price investments, compressing gross margin and limiting cost leverage over the life of our forecast.

News

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Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$58.62
Day Range
$58.30–60.29
52-Week Range
$54.15–76.58
Bid/Ask
$59.39 / $59.83
Shares Outstanding
590.59M
Market Cap
$35.13B
Volume/Avg
8M / 7M

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
12.27
Price/Sales
0.25
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
2.42%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
2.62%
Dividend Payment Schedule
Mar, Jun, Sep, Dec
Total Yield
12.99%

Company Profile

Founded in 1883, Kroger is the largest pure-play supermarket operator in the United States, operating roughly 2,700 stores across more than 30 banners. Kroger’s business is primarily grocery-led (roughly 79% of sales), spanning fresh food and private-label offerings, complemented by fuel centers (9%) and pharmacies (12%). The firm also generates income from advertising, data analytics, and manufacturing.
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Grocery Stores
Stock Style Box
Mid Value
Total Number of Employees
403,000

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
KR
COST
WMT
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
12.2744.0736.84
Price/Book Value
6.2411.338.43
Price/Sales
0.251.341.13
Price/Cash Flow
4.8430.1319.09
Price/Earnings
KR
COST
WMT

Financial Strength

Metric
KR
COST
WMT
Quick Ratio
0.270.560.20
Current Ratio
0.701.070.77
Interest Coverage
3.0377.3813.30
Quick Ratio
KR
COST
WMT

Profitability

Metric
KR
COST
WMT
Return on Assets (Normalized)
6.19%—7.88%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
45.66%—23.52%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
11.69%—13.98%
Return on Assets
KR
COST
WMT

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