Continental's organic sales declined 1.5% and adjusted operating profit increased 6.7% in the third quarter, with margin improving to 14.9% from 13.9%. An improved mix of ultra-high-performance tires in tires EMEA led the profit improvement. Accordingly, management raised its full-year guidance.
The spinoff of Aumovio and planned sale of ContiTech should unlock material value for current Continental shareholders, as reflected in our attractive sum-of-the-parts valuation.
Bears
In a mature industry, with increasing costs and expected volume growth in tonnage alone, rather than the number of units sold, it will become increasingly challenging to keep cost growth below top-line growth.
Following the spinoff of its automotive middleware business in 2025 and the planned sale of ContiTech, the rubber solutions business, in 2026, Continental will be a pure-play tire manufacturer. According to our research, Continental Tires is the fourth-largest branded tire manufacturer internationally with 7% market share globally, behind Michelin, Bridgestone, and Goodyear with global market shares of around 14%, 14%, and 9%, respectively. Geographically, its operations remain Europe-heavy, where it derives around 50% of revenue, followed by North America and Asia-Pacific and "other," contributing about 30% and 16%, respectively. Twenty-four percent of tires are sold into the new-vehicle market with automotive original equipment as customers, and 76% are sold as replacement tires.