Stronger Australian Dollar, French Taxes, and Weaker Traffic to Weigh on Atlas Arteria's Earnings
Atlas Arteria is a global toll-road group. By far its most valuable asset is a 31% stake in Autoroutes Paris-Rhin-Rhone. Despite APRR's dominant motorway network in eastern France, the short concession life, high base capital expenditure requirements, and subdued organic growth make it less attractive than some motorways. Longer-term distribution growth is likely to be held back by higher interest rates and the need to pay off all debt at APRR before handing the motorway concession back to the government in 2035. After the APRR concession ends, we estimate Atlas Arteria’s distributions will fall by two-thirds to a level supported by the smaller Dulles Greenway and Chicago Skyway.
United States