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Altria Group Inc MO

Morningstar Rating
$41.30 +0.20 (0.49%)
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Company Report

Altria Appears Undervalued but Market Concentration Increases Fat Tail Risk

Altria is the leading tobacco manufacturer in the United States. In fact, with Philip Morris International owning the international rights to Marlboro, the US is currently Altria's only market, resulting in more concentrated regulatory risk than for the other major tobacco players, which are multinational. We think it is logical, in the face of that risk, that Altria is pursuing a multiprong approach to cigarette substitutes, even though we harbor doubts about the long-term profitability of some of the emerging categories.

Price vs Fair Value

MO is trading at a 16% discount.
Price
$41.30
Fair Value
$93.00
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
$64.44
5-Star Price
$41.90
Economic Moat
Ycbml
Capital Allocation
Sybg

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

The US market, while mature in volume terms, is a highly affordable one relative to other developed markets. This leaves headroom for price increases for many years.

Bears

As a US pure play, Altria lacks exposure to some of the emerging markets in which total tobacco consumption is increasing, leaving it exposed to the secular decline rate that we estimate to be around 5% per year.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
$41.10
Day Range
$41.11–41.43
52-Week Range
$39.07–48.04
Bid/Ask
$41.04 / $41.37
Market Cap
$70.94 Bil
Volume/Avg
17.6 Mil / 12.7 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
8.34
Price/Sales
3.58
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
9.39%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
9.49%
Total Yield
10.80%

Company Profile

Altria comprises Philip Morris USA, us Smokeless Tobacco, John Middleton, Horizon Innovations and Helix Innovations. It holds an 8% interest in the world's largest brewer, Anheuser-Busch InBev. Through its tobacco subsidiaries, Altria holds the leading position in cigarettes and smokeless tobacco in the United States and the number-two spot in machine-made cigars. The company's Marlboro brand is the leading cigarette brand in the us with a 42% annual share in 2022. Altria holds a 42% stake in cannabis manufacturer Cronos, acquired Njoy Holdings in 2023, and recently exited its strategic investment in Juul Labs. It operates a joint venture with Japan Tobacco in the heated tobacco category.
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Tobacco
Stock Style Box
Large Value
Total Number of Employees
6,400

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
MO
2914
IMBBY
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
8.3413.906.29
Price/Book Value
—1.892.71
Price/Sales
3.582.550.52
Price/Cash Flow
7.8610.755.49
Price/Earnings
MO
2914
IMBBY

Financial Strength

Metric
MO
2914
IMBBY
Quick Ratio
0.380.850.32
Current Ratio
0.491.690.72
Interest Coverage
10.377.063.58
Quick Ratio
MO
2914
IMBBY

Profitability

Metric
MO
2914
IMBBY
Return on Assets (Normalized)
23.72%7.05%8.61%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
—12.94%41.72%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
42.59%10.78%20.75%
Return on Assets
MO
2914
IMBBY
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Tobacco Industry Comparables

Ticker
Name
Morningstar Rating for Stocks
Capital Allocation
Economic Moat
Market Cap
PM
Philip Morris International IncVvgsbrnlyTkpf$141.8 Bil
BTAFF
British American Tobacco PLC—Fhzy$63.7 Bil
BTI
British American Tobacco PLC ADRFrmmjvjnJlpy$63.1 Bil
JAPAF
Japan Tobacco Inc—Pdkzl$46.9 Bil
JAPAY
Japan Tobacco Inc ADR—Qsgj$46.9 Bil
IMBBY
Imperial Brands PLC ADRXvfshtfZhdtd$18.6 Bil
IMBBF
Imperial Brands PLC—Rfrj$18.5 Bil
PHJMF
PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk—Qsldbtj$6.0 Bil
SMORF
Smoore International Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares—Qwdxtl$5.3 Bil

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