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Asahi Group Holdings Ltd 2502

Morningstar Rating
JPY 5,465.00 +49.00 (0.90%)
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Company Report

Asahi’s Premiumization Strategy Remains Intact Over the Long Run; Inflation Impacts to Cycle Soon

Asahi is pinning its hopes on premiumization and global expansion to reinvigorate growth. The acquisition of SABMiller’s brands in Europe is a key stepping-stone to establishing its presence in the global premium beer market. Concurrently, the group intends to enhance profitability by rationalizing cost structure through supply chain optimization. Management has a proven record of cost-cutting. Whether it can continue a mid- to high-single-digit profit growth rate will depend on continued expansion of the premium offerings amid difficult economic conditions and the commodity prices of the key input. Unlike rival Kirin, which is looking for new revenue sources outside the shrinking beer market, Asahi is determined to stick to its core business. Asahi is targeting opportunities in the premium beer category not only because of the ongoing premiumization trend globally, but also because the strategic direction bodes well for its strengths in Asahi Super Dry, the number-one beer brand in Japan.

Price vs Fair Value

2502 is trading at a 16% discount.
Price
JPY 5,542.00
Fair Value
JPY 8,945.00
Uncertainty
Medium
1-Star Price
JPY 4,969.00
5-Star Price
JPY 3,479.00
Economic Moat
Jjqcmky
Capital Allocation
Zvxccwrtx

Bulls Say, Bears Say

Bulls

The premiumization trend is not undermined by inflation in the western markets despite geopolitical uncertainty which may trigger another surge in commodity prices.

Bears

Heightened geopolitical uncertainty might trigger another round of inflation and raise the likelihood of recession, especially in Europe —does not bode well for Asahi’s premiumization strategy and the near-term profit outlook.

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News

Trading Information

Previous Close Price
JPY 5,416.00
Day Range
JPY 5,353.005,500.00
52-Week Range
JPY 5,061.005,973.00
Bid/Ask
JPY 5,464.00 / JPY 5,469.00
Market Cap
JPY 2.77 Tril
Volume/Avg
2.0 Mil / 2.0 Mil

Key Statistics

Price/Earnings (Normalized)
16.25
Price/Sales
1.00
Dividend Yield (Trailing)
2.23%
Dividend Yield (Forward)
2.44%
Total Yield
2.24%

Company Profile

Asahi is a leading brewer in Japan with an estimated 36.5% market share by volume in Japan’s beer and beer-like market, led by its Asahi Super Dry beer brand. It also operates a wide range of acholic and soft beverage products as well as packaged foods, mainly in Japan. It has made inroads into Europe through acquisitions of SABMiller’s brands including Peroni and Pilsner Urquell in Western and Central Europe in 2016 and 2017. The acquisition of Carlton United Breweries has granted Asahi the leading market share in Australia’s beer market with Great Northern the leading brand. East Asia including China and Southeast Asia are the other overseas markets where Asahi is growing. Overseas business represents nearly half of the group sales and 60% of business profits.
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Beverages - Brewers
Stock Style Box
Large Core
Total Number of Employees
34,728

Competitors

Valuation

Metric
2502
2503
Price/Earnings (Normalized)
16.2511.97
Price/Book Value
1.131.63
Price/Sales
1.000.86
Price/Cash Flow
7.728.18
Price/Earnings
2502
2503

Financial Strength

Metric
2502
2503
Quick Ratio
0.390.87
Current Ratio
0.611.42
Interest Coverage
13.5718.87
Quick Ratio
2502
2503

Profitability

Metric
2502
2503
Return on Assets (Normalized)
3.32%5.92%
Return on Equity (Normalized)
7.45%15.10%
Return on Invested Capital (Normalized)
4.53%8.24%
Return on Assets
2502
2503
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