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Stock Analyst Note

Dynatrace's fiscal third-quarter revenue grew 18%, exceeding guidance for 16%. The firm also raised its full-year revenue growth forecast by 1 percentage point, to roughly 18%. We suspect caution surrounding potential artificial intelligence disruption is driving the stock more than results.
Company Report

Dynatrace is a software-as-a-service observability platform. "Observability" refers to the assessment of a system’s current state using the data, or telemetry, it produces. Dynatrace’s observability solution deploys agents that discover causal relationships across an enterprise’s technology systems and then displays telemetry in a useful dashboard that acts as a single point of analysis. While rapid improvements in agentic models have heightened disruption fears, we believe Observability's complexity and role in the technology landscape creates defensibility and even upside potential with exploding data gravity.
Company Report

Dynatrace is a software-as-a-service observability platform. "Observability" refers to the assessment of a system’s current state using the data, or telemetry, it produces. Dynatrace’s observability solution deploys agents that discover causal relationships across an enterprise’s technology systems and then displays telemetry in a useful dashboard that acts as a single point of analysis.
Stock Analyst Note

We are transferring coverage of software observability platforms, Datadog and Dynatrace. Both have grown rapidly as enterprises have shifted from on-premises servers to cloud-based workflows and have benefited from the increasing complexity of enterprise technological infrastructures.
Company Report

Dynatrace is a software-as-a-service observability platform. "Observability" refers to the assessment of a system’s current state using the data, or telemetry, it produces. Dynatrace’s observability solution deploys agents that discover causal relationships across an enterprise’s technology systems and then displays telemetry in a useful dashboard that acts as a single point of analysis.
Company Report

We have a positive outlook for Dynatrace’s prospects in the observability space. The firm’s products benefit from secular tailwinds driving an increase in data for enterprises to monitor and analyze. In our opinion, the firm’s sticky product portfolio, broad swath of products that cover the entire IT stack, and increased penetration in its target market have enabled Dynatrace to form a narrow economic moat around its business.
Company Report

We have a positive outlook for Dynatrace’s prospects in the observability space. The firm’s products benefit from secular tailwinds driving an accelerating increase in data for enterprises to monitor and analyze. In our opinion, the firm’s sticky product portfolio, broad swath of products that cover the entire IT stack, and increased penetration in its target market have enabled Dynatrace to form a narrow economic moat around its business.
Company Report

We have a positive outlook on Dynatrace’s prospects in the observability space. The firm’s products benefit from secular tailwinds driving an accelerating increase in data for enterprises to monitor and analyze. In our opinion, the firm’s sticky product portfolio, broad swath of products that cover the entire IT stack, and increased penetration in its target market have enabled Dynatrace to form a narrow economic moat around its business.
Stock Analyst Note

We maintain our $50 per share fair value estimate for narrow-moat Dynatrace after the firm kicked off fiscal 2025 with strong financial results, showcasing solid top-line growth supported by continued upmarket customer penetration. While the company has been affected by elongated sales cycles in recent quarters as customers have sought to rationalize and push forward their spending on software-as-a-service vendors, we forecast a rebound in Dynatrace's as macro conditions improve. Beyond the near term, we reiterate our view that Dynatrace is a leading observability vendor with long-term secular tailwinds. Within the observability space (software to monitor the state of a system or application) we continue to like Dynatrace as well as Datadog, both moaty SaaS names that trade in 3-star territory.
Stock Analyst Note

We are maintaining our $50 fair value estimate for narrow-moat Dynatrace after the firm closed out fiscal 2024 with a set of strong financial results, largely in line with our above-consensus prior estimates. While fiscal 2024 has been affected by the tough macroeconomic backdrop, leading to customers pushing out purchasing decisions and being cost conscious, we expect fiscal 2025 to be marginally better as some of the macro uncertainty subsides. Beyond the near term, however, we continue to see Dynatrace as a leader in the observability space. With Cisco’s recent acquisition of Splunk, the number of publicly traded observability vendors has whittled down to three, Datadog, Dynatrace, and Elastic. For investors seeking observability exposure at a reasonable price, we’d recommend Dynatrace which is a moaty company trading in the 3-star range.
Company Report

We have a positive outlook on Dynatrace’s prospects in the observability space. The firm’s products benefit from secular tailwinds driving an accelerating increase in data for enterprises to monitor and analyze. In our opinion, the firm’s sticky product portfolio, broad swath of products that cover the entire IT stack, and increased penetration in its target market have enabled Dynatrace to form a narrow economic moat around its business.

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