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Stock Analyst Note

Dollarama's second-quarter sales rose 17.6%, driven by 5.4% same-store sales growth. EBITDA margin fell 190 basis points to 32.2%, reflecting 110-basis-point headwinds to gross margin and SG&A, respectively, from a full quarter of Australia (10% of sales), partially offset by improvement in Canada.
Company Report

Dollarama’s strategy centers on pairing a curated assortment with low fixed price points and an efficient sourcing model, allowing it to profitably serve value-seeking consumers despite selling inexpensive merchandise. Its roughly 5,000 stock-keeping-units concentrate purchasing volumes alongside a largely shelf-stable assortment and dense store network, supporting attractive operating margins well above its grocery peers (roughly 20% higher), while keeping operating complexity low.
Company Report

We believe Canadian dollar store chain Dollarama has built a narrow economic moat around its business thanks to intangible assets and scale-driven cost advantages. This can be seen in its impressive record of strong sales expansion and steady margins, thanks to its ability to combine value and convenience that appeal to busy shoppers operating on a constrained budget.
Company Report

We believe Canadian dollar store chain Dollarama has built a narrow economic moat around its business thanks to intangible assets and scale-driven cost advantages. This can be seen in its impressive record of strong sales expansion and steady margins, thanks to its ability to combine value and convenience that appeal to busy shoppers operating on a tight budget.
Company Report

We believe Canadian dollar store chain Dollarama has built a narrow economic moat around its business thanks to intangible assets and scale-driven cost advantages. This can be seen in its impressive record of strong sales expansion and steady margins, thanks to its ability to combine value and convenience that appeal to busy shoppers operating on a tight budget.
Company Report

We believe Canadian dollar store chain Dollarama has built a narrow economic moat around its business thanks to intangible assets and scale-driven cost advantages. This can be seen in its impressive record of strong sales expansion and steady margins, thanks to its ability to combine value and convenience that appeal to busy shoppers operating on a tight budget.
Stock Analyst Note

We are encouraged by narrow-moat dollar store chain Dollarama’s announcement to build a new distribution center in Calgary by fiscal 2028. This should speed up store expansion in underpenetrated Western Canada and ease reliance on the traditional strongholds of Quebec and Ontario, where we see risks of saturation after 30 years of growth. That said, we expect only a slight uptick in our store count estimate, as the updated guidance for 2,200 stores by fiscal 2034 is less than 1% higher than the 2,186 stores we had penciled in at the end of the 10-year forecast period. This, coupled with earnings in the third quarter that should keep the retailer on track to meet our fiscal 2025 expectation for sales and earnings per share growth of 7% and 11%, respectively, have led us to leave our CAD 106 fair value estimate unchanged. Shares fell 6% on Dec. 4 but remained expensive, trading at over 30 times next year’s earnings.
Stock Analyst Note

We initiate coverage on Canadian dollar store chain Dollarama with a narrow economic moat rating based on the retailer’s intangible assets as well as cost advantages from its sourcing and distribution scale. Our fair value estimate stands at CAD 106 per share, which implies 16 times enterprise value to 2026 adjusted EBITDA. Shares look expensive trading at a 39% premium to our intrinsic valuation. Given the competitive intensity in retail, we don’t think the stock price has incorporated realistic growth and margin assumptions for the retailer in the coming years.
Company Report

We believe Canadian dollar store chain Dollarama has dug a narrow economic moat around its business thanks to intangible assets and scale-driven cost advantages. This can be seen in its impressive track record of strong sales expansion and steady margins, thanks to its ability to combine value and convenience that appeal to busy shoppers operating on a tight budget.

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