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Stock Analyst Note

Uni-President China's first-quarter net profit increased by 23% year on year to CNY 737 million, driven by revenue growth in both instant noodles and beverages, alongside input cost tailwinds. A one-off gain of CNY 73 million from an equity disposal also boosted net income.
Company Report

Uni-President China is the second-largest producer of instant noodles and ready-to-drink, or RTD, tea in China. The company underwent a period of fast revenue growth in the early 2010s and has transitioned to a more stable state in recent years. According to Euromonitor, its market share in instant noodles and RTD tea rank second after Tingyi, at around the low teens and the high teens, respectively. However, new entrants emerging in ready meals and RTD drinks could gain share in the company's traditional categories.
Company Report

Uni-President China is the second-largest producer of instant noodles and ready-to-drink, or RTD, tea in China. The company underwent a period of fast revenue growth in the early 2010s and has transitioned to a more stable state in recent years. According to Euromonitor, its market share in instant noodles and RTD tea rank second after Tingyi, at around low-teens and midteens, respectively. However, new entrants emerging in ready meals and RTD drinks could gain share in the company's traditional categories.
Company Report

Uni-President China is the second-largest producer of instant noodles and ready-to-drink, or RTD, tea in China. The company underwent a period of fast revenue growth in the early 2010s and has transitioned to a more stable state in recent years. According to Euromonitor, its market share in instant noodles and RTD tea rank second after Tingyi, at around low-teens and midteens, respectively. However, new entrants emerging in ready meals and RTD drinks could gain share in the company's traditional categories.
Company Report

Uni-President China is the second-largest producer of instant noodles and ready-to-drink, or RTD, tea in China. The company underwent a period of fast revenue growth in the early 2010s and has transitioned to a more stable state in recent years. According to Euromonitor, its market share in instant noodles and RTD tea rank second after Tingyi, at around low-teens and midteens, respectively. However, new entrants emerging in ready meals and RTD drinks could gain share in the company's traditional categories.
Company Report

Uni-President China is the second-largest producer of instant noodles and ready-to-drink, or RTD, tea in China. The company underwent a period of fast revenue growth in the early 2010s and has transitioned to a more stable state in recent years. According to Euromonitor, its market share in instant noodles and RTD tea rank second after Tingyi, at around low-teens and midteens, respectively. However, new entrants emerging in ready meals and RTD drinks could gain share in the company's traditional categories.
Company Report

Uni-President China is the second-largest producer of instant noodles and ready-to-drink, or RTD, tea in China. The company underwent a period of fast revenue growth in the early 2010s and has transitioned to a more stable state in recent years. According to Euromonitor, its market share in instant noodles and RTD tea rank second after Tingyi, at around low-teens and midteens, respectively. However, new entrants emerging in ready meals and RTD drinks could gain share in the company's traditional categories.
Company Report

Uni-President China is the second-largest producer of instant noodles and ready-to-drink, or RTD, tea in China. The company underwent a period of fast revenue growth in the early 2010s and has transitioned to a more stable state in recent years. According to Euromonitor, its market share in instant noodles and RTD tea rank second after Tingyi, at around low-teens and midteens, respectively. However, new entrants emerging in ready meals and RTD drinks could gain share in the company's traditional categories.
Company Report

Uni-President China is the second-largest producer of instant noodles and ready-to-drink, or RTD, tea in China. The company underwent a period of fast revenue growth in the early 2010s and has transitioned to a more stable state in recent years. According to Euromonitor, its market share in instant noodles and RTD tea rank second after Tingyi, at around low-teens and midteens, respectively. However, new entrants emerging in ready meals and RTD drinks could gain share in the company's traditional categories.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Uni-President China’s 2024 revenue and net profit were moderately above our expectations. The beverage segment continued to be the key growth driver, with the top line slightly outpacing our estimates. Meanwhile, the net profit beat of 1.6% was primarily driven by a lower tax rate. We lift our 2025-27 earnings estimates by 1%-3% due to the lower tax rate, and our longer-term forecasts are largely unchanged. Consequently, we keep our fair value estimate of HKD 6.80 per share, implying 15 times 2025 P/E and 8 times enterprise value/EBITDA. While we see shares as overvalued, UPC still offers a 5.5% dividend yield for 2025. We expect UPC to maintain a dividend payout ratio of 100% over the next five years.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Uni-President China’s third-quarter earnings were largely in line with our estimates, although sales growth was slightly higher than our expectations. Net profit growth was mostly driven by improving utilization and input cost tailwinds, which is consistent with our view. As such, we maintain our 2024 net income forecast and fair value estimate of HKD 6.80 per share, which implies 15 times 2025 price/earnings, 8 times enterprise value/EBITDA, and a 6.5% dividend yield. We think shares are fairly valued currently.
Stock Analyst Note

No-moat Uni-President China, or UPC, reported decent first-half earnings with revenue broadly consistent with our estimate, but margins exceeded expectations, thanks to an input-cost tailwind, operating leverage, and a reduction in promotional expenses. We raised our 2024 revenue and net income estimates by 1% and 11%, respectively, to factor in the better margins. However, we leave 2025–28 estimates largely unchanged. As a result, we retained our fair value estimate at HKD 6.80 per share, which implies 15 times 2024 price/earnings, 8 times EV/EBITDA and 6.5% dividend yield. We think current share prices are fairly valued.
Company Report

Uni-President China is the second-largest producer of instant noodles and ready-to-drink, or RTD, tea in China. The company underwent a period of fast revenue growth in the early 2010s and has transitioned to a more stable state in recent years. According to Euromonitor, its market share in instant noodles and RTD tea rank second after Tingyi, at around low-teens and midteens, respectively. However, new entrants emerging in ready meals and RTD drinks could gain share in the company's traditional categories.
Stock Analyst Note

We attended a site visit organized by no-moat Uni-President China to Chongqing. There, management laid out its strategies to scale the new sugar-free tea lineup and channel expansion initiatives, reaffirming our constructive view on its recent product launches. We continue to think that the beverage segment, rather than the food business, would be the major top-line and profit driver in the longer term. We think management has identified the appropriate price points and products to increase its competitiveness in the ready-to-drink tea sector. As a result, we raised our 2025-28 revenue and net income forecasts by 1%-4% to factor in stronger beverage sales and increased our fair value estimate to HKD 6.80 per share from HKD 6.60. Following the strong rally in recent months, we think UPC is slightly overvalued.

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